Rob Long · January 22, 2012 at 1:43am

Politico and the NYTimes are reporting a Gingrich victory.

Here's my analysis:  Republicans are tired of tongue-tied, deer-in-the-headlights candidates.  They're tired of gaffes and weasel-worders and stammering apologists and candidates who always need to have their words clarified by handlers.  They're tired of candidates who can't debate or think on their feet or answer complicated and embarrassing questions.  They're tired of watching presidential debates with their hearts in their mouths.

They compared the way Gingrich answered the question about his ex-wife to the way Romney answered the question about his tax returns and they decided that they'd rather have Gingrich go up against Obama.

It's high-wire-act fatigue.  And they may have made the right choice.

Comments:


Misthiocracy
Joined
Aug '10
Misthiocracy

Samuel Amaral

 K T Cat: This is what you get from the fully armed and operational BattleNewt. :-) · 0 minutes ago 

Newt it from Orbit, it is the only way to be sure. · 10 minutes ago

Damn, I wish I'd thought of that.  

Edited on January 22, 2012 at 2:22am
The King Prawn
Joined
Dec '10
The King Prawn

This might have been a great time for a live chat...

EJHill
Joined
May '10
EJHill

Voters (at least on our side) don't want to hear, "I can reach across the aisle." What they want to hear is, "I'm ready to club the socialistas and their media toadies into submission."

Misthiocracy
Joined
Aug '10
Misthiocracy

Forget who won what state for a moment.

Instead, what's the total delegate count so far?

Tommy De Seno

 Isn't this Newt's backyard and therefore kind of expected?

TerMend
Joined
May '11
TerMend
Ningrim: reading Jennifer Rubin and Hugh Hewitt's twitter feeds is a lesson in the difference between analysis and advocacy · 13 minutes ago

Which is which?  Don't follow either, but just listened to the most recent (January 9) Left Coast Right Coast podcast this morning, and Jennifer's contemptuous dismissal of Newt is kind of funny now.

The King Prawn
Joined
Dec '10
The King Prawn

Misthiocracy: Forget who won what state for a moment.

Instead, what's the total delegate count so far? · 3 minutes ago

Info here. Sorry about the source.

Butters
Joined
May '11
Ningrim

TerMend

 Ningrim: reading Jennifer Rubin and Hugh Hewitt's twitter feeds is a lesson in the difference between analysis and advocacy · 13 minutes ago 

Which is which?  Don't follow either, but just listened to the most recent (January 9) Left Coast Right Coast podcast this morning, and Jennifer's contemptuous dismissal of Newt is kind of funny now. · 2 minutes ago

That was poorly written. They're both advocates. And they feign objectivity by praising candidates who are not a threat (Santorum). Until they are.

Edited on January 22, 2012 at 2:31am
Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

Are you by any chance a refugee from Little Green Footballs?*  Well do I know that Charles banned people for, ah, "adventuresome" conjecturing.

Oh good heavens, I'm on a metaphoramania at the moment and am running out out noun contortions to torture.

Michael Tee
Joined
Jul '10
Michael Tee
Tommy De Seno:  Isn't this Newt's backyard and therefore kind of expected? · 3 minutes ago

He was down by like a million last Sunday. Not expected.

Tommy De Seno
Matthew Gilley: Early exits indicate that as many as 40% of married women may have voted Newt.  If that's true, it's astounding. · 47 minutes ago

If this is true, and holds up in other states down there, is the term "Bible Belt" no longer relevant to our politics?

Mama Toad
Joined
Feb '11
Mama Toad
EJHill: Voters (at least on our side) don't want to hear, "I can reach across the aisle." What they want to hear is, "I'm ready to club the socialistas and their media toadies into submission." · 6 minutes ago

Ouch. Perhaps we could say sycophants instead? Bootlickers? Can we please leave toads out of it?

**edit (I am only kidding EJHill, and in point of fact "toadies" is a great word, satisfying in the mouth to say, satisfying in the mind to hear...please continue to use it in good health!)

Edited on January 22, 2012 at 2:39am
Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

Mama Toad

EJHill: Voters (at least on our side) don't want to hear, "I can reach across the aisle." What they want to hear is, "I'm ready to club the socialistas and their media toadies into submission." · 6 minutes ago

Ouch. Perhaps we could say sycophants instead? Bootlickers? Can we please leave toads out of it? · 2 minutes ago

Once we toss out toads and lizards there's not a lot left.

Ronaldus Maximus
Joined
Sep '10
Ronaldus Maximus

Rob,thou hit the nail on the head and I think it goes well beyond this election cycle. It includes the previous presidential election and eight years of GW Bush. Conservative ideas need to be clearly and persuasively argued because there are a lot of Americans sitting in the middle or slightly to the Left that need to be convinced that government as we know it cannot continue and it must be greatly reduced, even it means they lose some of the handouts they've grown accosted to.

Joseph Eagar
Joined
Oct '10
Joseph Eagar

Newt?  Newt?  If Adrianna Huffington announced her return to conservative orthodoxy, would she also win in South Carolina?  Of all candidates, why did it have to be Newt?  Obama will flay him alive!

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

Rob,

It looks like the Newtron Bomb was too much for those Romney good looks.  I, of course, am a Perry man.  I still think he was the nicest guy running and the 20/20 tax plan is the most conservative move that can actually be done (9 9 9 was just crazy).  I put two bumper stickers on the car before he declared.  I couldn't very well let him down because he couldn't tap dance and that's what the MSM said every candidate must be able to do.

Now that Perry has withdrawn I took the bumper stickers off my car.  I'm leaving the space open.  I'm in no rush to endorse anybody.  I'll be watching and when I see what I really like I'm going to fill the space on the bumper.

Joseph Eagar
Joined
Oct '10
Joseph Eagar

And btw, how is Newt anything but Establishment--with a capital "E"? 

R. Craigen
Joined
Nov '10
R. Craigen

Remember Newt's answer to the question "what would you have done differently?" Perhaps current events are a massive repudiation of the notion that you need a "professional staff of handlers" to win a campaign.  Perhaps we're now in a political environment in which the handlers are more of a problem than a help.  Note what happened to Cain.

GOVICIDE
Joined
Mar '11
GOVICIDE

I think something that's forgotten is that most of the people who vote are over 40 years old like myself. We easily remember the early 90's when Bush 41 was shooting himself in the foot by raising taxes, Congress controlled by Democrats, and this young Governor from Arkansas surging to the lead. And there was one guy who, undaunted, lead Republicans despite the current circumstances: Newt Gingrich. That kind of street cred earned during dire circumstances, no matter what else has happened since, goes a LONG way. Romney has NO street cred and it's beginning to show.

As for Jeb Bush's upcoming endorsement, I think that's the absolute worse thing that can happen to Romney. The Bush name is still dirty to many people, including a lot of Republicans. And it doesn't matter that his first name isn't George. The Republican Party is over the Bush's. Good guys, good family men, just conservative enough but in the end they hurt the Party more than they helped it.

Now, if Marco Rubio endorses Romney--and I'm not sure that will happen, then Romney might have something to be happy about. 

Edited on January 22, 2012 at 2:45am
The King Prawn
Joined
Dec '10
The King Prawn
Joseph Eagar: Newt?  Newt?  ... Of all candidates, why did it have to be Newt?  Obama will flay him alive! · 3 minutes ago

I think you're wrong, but even if not, at least he'll go down swinging and not preemptively surrender.


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