Rob Long · January 31, 2012 at 6:36pm

From CNBC.com, this interesting chart, which graphs the amount of laughter -- as reported in the minutes -- during meetings of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee:

FM-fomc-funnies

The laughter kept building, even as the housing crisis got worse:

History shows they may have been laughing a bit too hard.

In what may be the strangest market indicator ever, a blogger found that the amount of laughter recorded in the official transcripts of Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meetings from 2000 to 2006 correlates almost perfectly with the rise in housing prices taking place at the time.

A particular series of side-splitting meetings by the central bank in 2006 marked the very top of the housing bubble.

It comes from a site called The Daily Stag Hunt.  The research is theirs. Of course, FOMC minutes aren't released until weeks after the meeting, so it's impossible to use this new indicator -- the hilarity reverse index -- to make any money.  It's probably enough to realize that if they're laughing now, you won't be soon.

Comments:


Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

But they were crying on the inside. 

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

Rob,

I am including a link to a letter to the editor I wrote to the Palm Beach Daily News.  My letter was printed this Sunday.  It pertains to your topic.

Regards,

Jim

Tristan Abbey
Joined
Jan '11
Tristan Abbey

Would be interesting to compare this chart against, say, 1994 to 2000. If doom makes them giddy, what about boom?

DocJay
Joined
Jul '11
DocJay

The sides of my over financed house are just splitting with that fanny slapper.

Adam Freedman

Apparently the Fed transcripts simply say "[Laughter]."  If they did true verbatim transcripts, I suspect they would look something like this:

 Muahahahahaha... Muahahahahahaha... Muahahahahahaha.. [laughter dissolves into spluttering cough].

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin

Let us not forget how hilarious President Obama finds our current economic state. (Mr. President, "Are you punch drunk?")

KC Mulville
Joined
Jan '11
KC Mulville

What prompted each session of laughter?

  • The reality of the problem?
  • The absurdity of their proposed solutions?

Come to think of it, though, the difference doesn't really matter. Each answer is equally depressing.

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

This is the largest case of the abuse of OPM in history.  You might ask why Obama doesn't think of it as his money too?  There is only one answer and Dinesh D'Souza knows what it is.  Obama just doesn't think of himself as an American.  This is a deep psychological problem.  Of course, we're all going broke waiting for him to get over his psychosis.

Edited on January 31, 2012 at 7:54pm
FeliciaB
Joined
May '10
FeliciaB

In this case, laughter is NOT the best medicine.

wilber forge
Joined
Oct '10
wilber forge

 Nervous Laughter ?

Douglas Wingate
Joined
Sep '10
Douglas Wingate

 So unless I've somehow misunderstood, the FOMC were laughing as the bubble built, not as it collapsed, and the title is altogether wrong.


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