This exceeds anything I'd expected--or, I'd be willing to wager, anything Ann Coulter feared:

A new national poll shows Mitt Romney is in a free fall with Newt Gingrich now leading for the GOP presidential nomination.

Gingrich now has 31% support from registered Republican voters in the Gallup daily tracking poll, compared with 27% for the former Massachusetts governor.

The former House speaker now has completely erased a 23-point advantage Romney enjoyed earlier this month.

"Free fall."  Lord.  Florida votes on the last day of the month.  Can Romney turn this around?

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Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

Peter: read the posts and comments today. Charlie Crist's advisors are the ones behind Romney's General Custer inspired debate performances, and now Norm Coleman has just flown Wile E Coyote's little white Obamacare flag of death that comes out before the 6,000 pound Arizona boulder crushes him when the Acme rocket sled misfires.

Fire. Them. All.

WileECoyoteGenius
Edited on Jan 24 at 1:01pm
George Savage

Republicans crave a candidate willing to make the conservative argument and actually fight the fight when elected.  

One worry we don't have with Newt:  caving to business-as-usual in order to win elite approval or avoid a messy fight.

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

Myth Romney the Electable.

Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

Nobody Expects a Gallup Inquisition.

Todd
Joined
Oct '10
Todd

Heckuva job, Mitt!

Jonathan Matthew Gilbert
Joined
Jul '10
Jonathan Matthew Gilbert

Another worry we don't have with Newt: how to actually fix any of the problems this country faces. I feel like I'm watching a major political party commit suicide right before my eyes. 

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

 Peter,

I realized quite a while back that only Gd was in control of this election.  I think it's time that Ann Coulter simply accept this and try not to control the outcome.  She is attacking her own when she does this.

I've met Ann once and saw her in person by accident once also.  I think she knows who I am.  I joked that when she turned those baby blue eyes of her's and that 185 IQ at you, that she could have anything she wanted.  However, with one qualification only.  The 2012 Presidential race is in Gd's hands.  We all need to accept that.

Regards from The Island,

Jim

Edited on Jan 24 at 1:52pm
George Savage

In this context, Newt's lack of endorsements from legislative colleagues and the usual power brokers is a plus.  Everyone who matters already hates him, freeing him from the need to make nice and ditch his reform agenda after the election.

tabula rasa
Joined
Jun '10
tabula rasa

There is no doubt that Newt has surged at Mitt's expense. I take less stock in the Gallup National poll because most of those polled aren't even seeing ads and are most likely reacting to current headlines (that's not to say it is irrelevant).

A better gauge is where the battle is raging: in this case Florida. Yesterday Insider Advantage showed Newt up by 8 in Florida, while Rasmussen showed him up by 9. Today, however, PPP shows Gingrich up by 5 (compared to PPP's Saturday poll that showed Newt up by 9). All of these are probably within the margin of error, so they may show us nothing, other than that Newt has 5-9% lead.

One thing is clear: just about everyone finds something a bit lacking even in their own favorite. I support Mitt, but will be the first to admit that his campaign style leaves much to be desired. Some Newt supporters undoubtedly find some flaws in him as well.

Florida will be very important, but unless Santorum jumps out, we're going to be dealing with the same cast until super Tuesday in March.

The roller-coaster ride isn't over.

Edited on Jan 24 at 1:11pm

Joined
May '10
Conor Friedersdorf

George Savage: Republicans crave a candidate willing to make the conservative argument and actually fight the fight when elected.  

One worry we don't have with Newt:  caving to business-as-usual in order to win elite approval or avoid a messy fight. · 4 minutes ago

If you don't have this fear about Newt Gingrich it's because you've been taken in by his rhetoric or else haven't paid sufficient attention to his record of caving into business as usual.

Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius
George Savage: In this context, Newt's lack of endorsements from legislative colleagues and the usual power brokers is a plus.  Everyone who matters already hates him, freeing him from the need to make nice and ditch his reform agenda after the election. · 0 minutes ago

Newt should come out for his next debate with a hardhat, riding in a bulldozer.

Crow's Nest
Joined
Mar '11
Crow's Nest

Newt defended Medicare Part D in the last debate. Business as usual?

Michael Pate
Joined
Oct '10
Michael Pate

In 1987, the three left-wing networks plus PBS/NPR dominated media, and talk-radio was still nascent; many of America’s most influential conservative activists, including the American Conservative Union and Phyllis Schlafly, supported the Fairness Doctrine at this time. - http://www.newt.org/answers#Fairness

Okay, but...

President Reagan today vetoed a bill that would write into law the fairness doctrine requiring broadcasters to present divergent views on controversial topics. - http://www.nytimes.com/1987/06/21/us/reagan-vetoes-measure-to-affirm-fairness-policy-for-broadcasters.html

And according to reports, Newt said the words "Ronald Reagan" 55 times last night. I am thinking there were somewhat less "Phyllis Schlafly" mentions.

Edited on Jan 24 at 1:21pm
Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius
Crow's Nest: Newt defended Medicare Part D in the last debate. Business as usual? · 0 minutes ago

Not if Newt doesn't want the crowd to scream "President Ron Paul".

Frozen Chosen
Joined
Aug '10
Frozen Chosen

It's not like you to overreact to the polls, Peter.  You do realize they've been all over the place the past 60 days, don't you?

I didn't sense a similar glee when Newt dropped like a rock in early January.

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

I'm liking Newt for his enemies. And by the way, Gingrich is really, really hated by Democrats. What's that about? 

Whiskey Sam
Joined
Jul '10
Whiskey Sam

Saw Ann on Red Eye last night, and she seemed almost in hysterics over Gingrich.  That's really not a great way to try to influence anyone.  It makes Newt come across as the calm, rational one.

Aaron Miller
Joined
May '10
Aaron Miller
Franco: Myth Romney the Electable.

I'm distrustful of polls in general. But Romney's most popular selling point has always been his supposed electability. So a dramatic drop in the polls should be expected after numerous primary election defeats.

If he loses again, particularly in the electoral powerhouse that is Florida, expect him to struggle nationally through the remaining nomination process.

Stuart Creque
Joined
Dec '10
Stuart Creque

Can Mitt turn this around? In the sense that the polls are volatile, certainly if Mitt can blow a 23 point lead, it's possible for him to regain it. But I think it is a good deal less likely that Mitt can earn back a 23 point lead than it is that Newt can give back a 23 point leaf to Mitt. Mitt seems less in control of his own electoral destiny than Newt is in control of his.

Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius
Whiskey Sam: Saw Ann on Red Eye last night, and she seemed almost in hysterics over Gingrich.  That's really not a great way to try to influence anyone.  It makes Newt come across as the calm, rational one. · 2 minutes ago

My ears are still bleeding.


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