For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Peter Robinson ·
June 28, 2012 at 7:25am
The most acute student of the Supreme Court that I know predicts a 6-3 vote to uphold ObamaCare in its entirety. Against which depressing prediction I find myself counterposing the latest on Intrade, which at this hour predicts a "71.9 percent chance" that the Court will strike down the individual mandate.
Whatever the Court announces at 10AM tomorrow morning, ObamaCare delenda est.
And so to bed.
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May '10
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Go with Yoo. 5-4, good guys win. Big day tomorrow, Peter. Get some sleep.
Apr '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
I think I will sleep in until 9AM that way I don't have to spend my morning fretting over news web sites.
May '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Que sera sera.
Jan '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
My innate pessimism says it stands 5-4You guys in the US will be screwed, you won't be able to afford all the free stuffAnd if it passes, where will Canadian premiers go to get first rate health care?
Jan '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Shaking my fist at formatting issues BTW
Mar '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Is formatting also government-controlled in Canada?
Oct '10
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Sleep well Peter. I hope and pray that at least Title I is declared unconstitutional. If not, we'll just have to re-double our efforts to get a Republican House, Senate and President in November. I'll have an anxious night here in Japan, but the consolation is that the verdict will be in when I wake up.
Sep '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
"The most acute student of the Supreme Court that I know predicts a 6-3 vote to uphold ObamaCare in its entirety."
I agree. Kennedy joins the liberals and Roberts piles on to be able to write the decision and limit the damage.
May '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
"Shaking my fist at formatting issues BTW"And I'm trying to type this on my phone... I think I'll only post in haiku today:Truncated commentsFat fingers smear tempered glassOn Ricochet
Oct '10
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
locke91, that could certainly happen, but the Supreme Court has been better at keeping secrets than President Obama’s National Security Council, which makes speculation on the decision very difficult. Via Reuters, I see where Nancy Pelosi feels it will be 6-3 with Roberts joining Kennedy. So, I think we'll just have to wait for the decision.
Apr '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Conservatives have been beaten up by the SC so often in the decades since the Great Depression, I'm not surprised to see the pessimism.
Yet, I suspect there's going to kill the bill because it so radically alters the Federal government's role in commerce.
Even Ruth Bader Ginsberg has been on record as questioning Roe v. Wade because it went too far too soon (not that I expect her to be consistent with that view in this ruling).
Jul '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Yeah, I find it hard to believe that Kennedy would take a position that contradicts dominant Beltway opinion. I disagree with those who say he has any core legal philosophy that trumps his need to be in good standing with media center elites.Nevertheless, I wouldn't demand that he resign from the Court, as Hysterical Leftist EJ Dionne wants Scalia to do.
Oct '10
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Highlama, that's my feeling too. I think they will reign in the Commerce Clause with a decision in our favor. I would be pleased but not surprised to see Justice Sotomayor join a 6-3 to repeal all or part of the bill.
May '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
"pleased but not surprised to see Justice Sotomayor join a 6-3 to repeal all or part of the bill."Now, *that's* a wise latina!
Oct '10
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Well said, dash.
Dec '11
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Obviously, you hold no position in the stock market.
Enjoy your day.
Mar '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
It is my strong belief that the individual mandate will be struck down.
I also think that the Court will then leave the rest of the bill intact. Thus Congress will be put in the position to either "fix" or repeal the law.
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
Al Kennedy
Well said, dash. · 3 hours ago
Well said indeed.
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
It's a little after three in the morning out here in California, and I'm up, darn it. Am so wound up over this decision that--I'll admit it--I couldn't sleep. But between John Yoo and Scott, I'm feeling suddenly and pleasantly drowsy.
G'night, folks.
May '12
Re: For Anyone Who's Still Awake...
"Obviously, you hold no position in the stock market."None whatsoever. But I have haiku:Nine in camera;Mountain burn breath abated;On pins and needles.