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Scott Reusser
Joined
May '10
Scott Reusser

Scary scenario, but this puzzled me: Why does Palin's running increase the odds of a strong third party candidate? I thought the likeliest source of that would be the Tea Party, with whom Palin is popular. The blogpost doesn't elaborate.

etoiledunord
Joined
Jun '10
etoiledunord

For political shoo-ins, two years is forever. A year from now, I think at least eight candidates will be running for the Republican presidential nomination, and the front-runner won't be Palin or Huckabee. Not Jeb either, unless he changes his last name to something less...dynastic. Unless national security takes over the conversation, because of an incident, the issue will be economy, economy, economy. If I had to make a wild guess today, I'd say it's between Romney, Pawlenty, Barbour, or Daniels. Probably Romney.

Jim Chase
Joined
Jun '10
Jim Chase

If I read Barone and Ellis correctly, the premise is that if the Tea Party "wing" of the GOP turns to Palin, the Establishment "wing" of the GOP will increase efforts to recruit the former Florida governor to be their standard bearer, setting up the Palin - Bush primary. I'm not certain I entirely agree with the premise. Yes, there plenty who would not be thrilled with a Palin candidacy, but I don't buy that the other pole will naturally move toward Bush. His position on immigration is a big liability in my view. The soil just isn't fertile enough yet to sustain Bush in a battle with Obama, although that could change. I think there are other viable candidates that could rise to the occasion. If he's interested in the job, I'm afraid he has some serious cultivating and fertilizing to do to overcome the elements stacked against him right now.

oleneo65
Joined
May '10
oleneo65

The person in the national spotlight who is exhibiting the leadership characteristics I'd and I believe most Americans, want to see in a President is Governor Chris Christie of NJ. He'd fit is perfectly with the candidate group mentioned by etoiledunord in post #2.


Joined
Jul '10
kcarlin

Jeb may be the best Bush of the lot, but he may be the only candidate Obama could beat for reelection. The next GOP candidate should have executive experience in the private sector and a state governorship, have proven reformer credentials, and serious plans for putting Americans back to work and meeting the real national security challenges.  And no Washington, DC on the resume.

James Poulos, Ed.
oleneo65: The person in the national spotlight who is exhibiting the leadership characteristics I'd and I believe most Americans, want to see in a President is Governor Chris Christie of NJ. He'd fit is perfectly with the candidate group mentioned by etoiledunord in post #2. · Jul 10 at 7:20pm

Intriguing. But is he too inexperienced? As Top of the Ticket, meanwhile, builds the case for Palin's "unstoppable" momentum, I'm left wondering how much our whole concept of experience is changing when it comes to Presidential qualifications. There are dangers, here, as Obama's administration has already in part shown. It's hard to argue with you, kcarlin:

kcarlin: The next GOP candidate should have executive experience in the private sector and a state governorship, have proven reformer credentials, and serious plans for putting Americans back to work and meeting the real national security challenges. And no Washington, DC on the resume. · Jul 10 at 9:19p

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