Peter Robinson · February 8, 2012 at 7:16am
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With 89 percent of the precincts reporting, CNN has just called Rick Santorum winner of the Colorado caucuses, in which he appears to have defeated Mitt Romney by 38 to 36 percent.  The polls have for several days now indicated that Santorum would win in Minnesota and Missouri, although they understated his margin of victory, but no one--no one--expected Santorum to pull off a victory in Colorado, which was thought to be in Romney's back pocket.

An astonishing upset.  Just astonishing.

Update three minutes later:  The New York Times just called Colorado for Santorum as well. 

Comments:


Diane Ellis

Disclaimer: I still haven't made up my mind as to whether Santorum's someone I could fully and enthusiastically support.

But man am I pleased to be able to say that "Ricochet's own Rick Santorum" swept tonight.  He's such an underdog, and it's hard not to like an underdog.

Steven Potter
Joined
Aug '10
Steven Potter

Diane Ellis, Ed.: Disclaimer: I still haven't made up my mind as to whether Santorum's someone I could fully and enthusiastically support.

But man am I pleased to be able to say that "Ricochet's own Rick Santorum" swept tonight.  He's such an underdog, and it's hard not to like an underdog. · 0 minutes ago

Y'all might be able to say you had the next President of the United States posting at Ricochet...before he was the favored GOP candidate.

Is Ricochet ahead of the curve?

Sisyphus
Joined
Jul '10
Sisyphus

Well done senator!!! Keep it up! 

Gus Marvinson
Joined
Mar '11
Gus Marvinson

Santorum has been gathering momentum in the debates, in his campaign speeches, and now in the the voting booths. What he lacks is money, but that is likely to change after tonight's results. Enthusiasm for him is building within me as well.

For the first time I feel good about our primary system.

Edited on February 8, 2012 at 7:33am
Stuart Creque
Joined
Dec '10
Stuart Creque

Rick Santorum now has a better case for asking Newt Gingrich to drop out and throw his support to Santorum than Gingrich has to ask Santorum to drop out and unify behind Gingrich.

Gus Marvinson
Joined
Mar '11
Gus Marvinson

re. Peter's earlier post about the nature of the elections turning more toward social issues: If that is indeed true, Santorum is the guy to hammer Obama on all fronts.

Israel P.
Joined
Feb '11
Israel P.

Peter, Romney is neither evil nor enemy. "Goliath" is not appropriate.

(Santorum fan here, just to make that clear.)

Gus Marvinson
Joined
Mar '11
Gus Marvinson

Israel P.: Peter, Romney is neither evil nor enemy. "Goliath" is not appropriate.

(Santorum fan here, just to make that clear.) · 0 minutes ago

Literalist.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Diane Ellis, Ed.:

....man am I pleased to be able to say that "Ricochet's own Rick Santorum" swept tonight. 

It's a good night for National Review, too. Whether it's Santorum or Romney, it's a National Review endorsed winner this race. It didn't come a moment too soon, either. Gingrich has just started broadening his attacks on the party elites and the Republican establishment, the people who must work to get him elected if he became the nominee, apparently  a "cheap version of the Democratic establishment" who are "so defeated, so cynical, so lacking in ambition that when I say let's have a bold program, it’s met with derision." If people were listening to him, he'd be even more of a problem. Hopefully it'll be out of his system by the debate on the 22nd.

Although we're now looking at a longer campaign than we were a day ago, it seems likely to me to be much more positive. People don't hate Santorum like they hate Gingrich, and Santorum isn't filled with hate himself.

R. Craigen
Joined
Nov '10
R. Craigen

This may be premature, but I'm thinking this leads to an interesting question.  Suppose a handful more caucuses hand Gingrich and/or Santorum clear wins, and Romney, leading or not, sees his momentum disappearing.  Will he see the writing on the wall and pull out, as his comments today suggest he thinks ought to happen?  If so, what would transpire in a 3-way primary Ron/Newt/Rick down the final stretch?

I find it hard to parse where Romney's supporters would go, but I can't see the "core" going to Ron, who's too off-center.  Rick would draw the social conservative wing of Romney's base and Gingrich would draw the centrist and governing class element.  That might just freeze Paul out.

Erik Larsen
Joined
Jan '11
Erik Larsen

I'm still supporting Goliath. Oops - new tone!

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England
Stuart Creque: Rick Santorum now has a better case for asking Newt Gingrich to drop out and throw his support to Santorum than Gingrich has to ask Santorum to drop out and unify behind Gingrich. · 5 minutes ago

This has always been true. Santorum's voters split evenly between Newt and Mitt; Rick dropping out would not have benefitted Gingrich. Gingrich dropping out would always have benefited Rick. It is true that the argument is even stronger now that Santorum is slightly ahead of Mitt in states carried, slightly behind him in delegates awarded, but by both measures Newt is not in the same league.

LowcountryJoe
Joined
Jan '11
LowcountryJoe

R. Craigen

I find it hard to parse where Romney's supporters would go, but I can't see the "core" going to Ron, who's too off-center.  

For being too off-center, Jim DeMint certainly spoke warmly of him in this recent ReasonTV interview.

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

Grreatttt!!!!!!

It's not over till someone has plus 50% of the delegates.

The Candidate I originally chose, Perry, has withdrawn.  However, I liked Marco Rubio even before that.  I listened to the conventional wisdom and didn't try to draft him.  That was a mistake.

I voted for Rick Santorum in the Florida primary and will support him from now on.  Only two possibilities can end my support.  Rick withdrawing or Marco Rubio entering the Race.

Game On,

Jim

LowcountryJoe
Joined
Jan '11
LowcountryJoe

I'm not entirely enthused about anyone -- Santorum included -- but he has been very candid and genuine in his appearances and I very much like that.  He's also said some very unguarded and non-populist things that most politicians just don't have the courage to say.  I get fired up about that...in a good way. 

The Cloaked Gaijin
Joined
Nov '11
The Cloaked Gaijin

Steven Potter

Diane Ellis, Ed.: Disclaimer: I still haven't made up my mind as to whether Santorum's someone I could fully and enthusiastically support.

But man am I pleased to be able to say that "Ricochet's own Rick Santorum" swept tonight.  He's such an underdog, and it's hard not to like an underdog.

Y'all might be able to say you had the next President of the United States posting at Ricochet...before he was the favored GOP candidate.

Is Ricochet ahead of the curve?

I think it's obvious.  Santorum will be the nominee unless Romney opens up a Ricochet account.  It's really his only hope.

Seriously, I remember Dennis Miller saying that if President Obama attending just one or two Tea Party events, things might have been a bit different for him.  However, the president seems to be overflowing with arrogance and hate.  Bill Clinton might have been willing to attend a Tea Party rally to scope for chicks, if nothing else.

Romney is completely disconnected from the South and Midwest.  The Minnesota results seem especially shocking and terrifying for him.

A Santorum-Romney ticket or a Romney-Santorum one?

K T Cat
Joined
Sep '10
K T Cat

Shades of 2008.

Civil Sense
Joined
Feb '11
Civil Sense

This is terrible news. Economics and the scope of government are the most important things in this election. So Colorado as a state (as well as my state house district supercaucus) goes and casts meaningless straw ballots for a statist protectionist extra-social-issues conservative. Thank God for bourbon; it's the only way I can understand this insanity.

Stuart Creque
Joined
Dec '10
Stuart Creque

James Of England

Although we're now looking at a longer campaign than we were a day ago, it seems likely to me to be much more positive. People don't hate Santorum like they hate Gingrich, and Santorum isn't filled with hate himself.

The problem is that Romney doesn't do positive very well.

Romney will take tougher approach to Santorum, adviser says

“I think we’ll see differences in approach that will be explored. Rick Santorum tonight was fairly aggressive in his contrasts, and I think we’ll see differences,” Stevens said of the two-term senator Tuesday night. “Look, I just don’t think it’s a time when people are looking to Washington to solve problems with Washington.”

Santorum has passionately criticized Romney over his Massachusetts health care plan, which the former senator has said is too similar to President Barack Obama’s health care plan and would cripple Romney in a fight against the president in the fall.

While the Romney campaign has focused many attacks on former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, in Iowa and New Hampshire they peppered Santorum over his defense of earmarks while in the Senate.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Stuart Creque

James Of England

Although we're now looking at a longer campaign than we were a day ago, it seems likely to me to be much more positive. People don't hate Santorum like they hate Gingrich, and Santorum isn't filled with hate himself.

The problem is that Romney doesn't do positive very well.

Earmarks strike me as a policy disagreement rather than a personal attack. It's not talking about, eg., his only non-political experience being as a lobbyist before he came to congress. We'll see how it plays out, but I don't think the incentives support negative campaigning in the way that they did with Gingrich. There are much bigger risks involved, smaller rewards, less emotional desire for it, and way, way, fewer easy targets. Plus, Santorum has more longevity than Newt, and months of brawling would do terrible things to both their approval ratings.


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