David Brooks suggests Obama's poll numbers should be bottomed out, somewhere near the sucking drain, given the fundamentals (I agree). Yet, the president seems to be able to hold about even with Romney, even though only 36% of Americans believe Obama has a plan to secure our future.  Brooks theory:

Normally, presidents look weak during periods of economic stagnation, overwhelmed by events. But Obama has displayed a kind of ESPN masculinity: postfeminist in his values, but also thoroughly traditional in style — hypercompetitive, restrained, not given to self-doubt, rarely self-indulgent. Administrations are undone by scandal and moments when they look pathetic, but this administration, guarded in all things, has rarely had those moments.

...

I’d say that Obama is a slight underdog this year: the scuffling economy will grind away at voters. But his leadership style is keeping him afloat. He has defined a version of manliness that is postboomer in policy but preboomer in manners and reticence.

This, I'm not too sure about. What's the conventional wisdom here at Ricochet? Why aren't Obama's poll numbers more in-line with his performance?

Update: Whoa, whoa, whoa! Bill Whittle has a refinement on Brooks' theory. I think he'd say Obama's polling success is due to his alpha-male veneer on his beta-male character.

"Which is why kids, it's so mind blowingly awesome to be a conservative! Why not do yourself a favor and become one today." -- Bill Whittle

Comments:


BrentB67
Joined
May '12
BrentB67

You ask a very good question in the closing sentence. To answer it I think you have to define what performance guage you are using.

If the performance marker is an expanding, private enterprise based economy then he is failing woefully.

If the performance marker is government dependence and cultural decay he is performing marvelously.

The poll numbers are always volatile in the short run, but in the bigger picture they generally aren't too far off from the split between those of us paying income taxes and those that are not.

Edited on May 15, 2012 at 4:43pm
dash
Joined
May '12
dash

It's the crease, David, the crease.

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

First Black President = 20% (12% Black vote 8% white liberal-guilt vote)

Democrat Media Complex = 20%

Clueless GOP  = 5%

Redneck Desi
Joined
Apr '12
Redneck Desi

My conventional wisdom - His likability varies tremendously among ethnic groups and age groups.

Red Feline
Joined
Apr '12
Alainnah Robertson

Obama is still the perfect President for his times. Charming; charismatic; handsome; caring; young, but not too young; still "keeping with the program" of handouts; exuding "in control", and "all is well" vibes: what more is there to want? Did you say "policy"? What is that?! You are so correct, Western Chauvinist, leadership style is where it is at for those at the receiving end of all those income taxes. 

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin

He has defined a version of manliness that is postboomer in policy but preboomer in manners and reticence.

"Manly" is not the adjective that comes to mind when I think about Obama.

Edited on May 15, 2012 at 4:58pm
Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

David Brooks has theories about everything.  This is pure crap. Post-boomer this, pre-boomer that, post-feminist, ESPN masculinity................???

Label me  post-DavidBrooks

Western Chauvinist
Joined
Dec '10
Western Chauvinist

DrewInWisconsin

He has defined a version of manliness that is postboomer in policy but preboomer in manners and reticence.

"Manly" is not the adjective that comes to mind when I think about Obama. · 8 minutes ago

Edited 4 minutes ago

Oh, I know what you mean, Drew, considering the mom jeans and ladies' bicycle photos. But, I think you'd agree he has a preternatural confidence, especially considering his lack of actual real-world achievements prior to taking office. It's that touted unflappability which has masculine appeal. To some.

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin

I think we're starting to see the beginnings of an anti-Obama preference cascade. (Or would that be an Obama non-preference cascade?)
And it's possible that Obama's gay-marriage "evolution" marked the tipping point.

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin

Western Chauvinist

Oh, I know what you mean, Drew, considering the mom jeans and ladies' bicycle photos. But, I think you'd agree he has a preternatural confidence, especially considering his lack of actual real-world achievements prior to taking office.

I don't see that as confidence, though. To me, it comes off as arrogance. Sneering, looking-down-the-nose, haughtiness. But that's been my interpretation of the President's demeanor for such a long time, that it's hard for me to see it any other way.

Am I alone?

Western Chauvinist
Joined
Dec '10
Western Chauvinist

DrewInWisconsin

Western Chauvinist

Oh, I know what you mean, Drew, considering the mom jeans and ladies' bicycle photos. But, I think you'd agree he has a preternatural confidence, especially considering his lack of actual real-world achievements prior to taking office.

I don't see that as confidence, though. To me, it comes off as arrogance. Sneering, looking-down-the-nose, haughtiness. But that's been my interpretation of the President's demeanor for such a long time, that it's hard for me to see it any other way.

Am I alone? · 1 minute ago

Hm, I think that's how conservatives see him, yeah. I'm trying to figure out why others see him differently. He's got two masculine traits I can identify: confidence (which looks to us like a tendency to bully) and competitiveness. There may be others, but those are the stand-outs to me, which might help explain why many Americans still consider him an acceptable incumbent. Maybe?

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin

Unpack that "competitiveness" thing for me. I don't see that at all. 

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

With you Drew. Confidence without real accomplishment is arrogance.

And I also don't get "competitive". He is the kind of competitor who wants to buy off the referees and walk away with the trophy.

Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

confidence (which looks to us like a tendency to bully) and competitiveness. 

Arrogance and ambition along with an unseemly envy of competitors.

DocJay
Joined
Jul '11
DocJay

Manliness? Masculinity? My 5 yr old daughter has more macho in her hello kitty hair bow than Barrack has in his skinny little effeminate body.

tabula rasa
Joined
Jun '10
tabula rasa

Wait!  You mean Archie Bunker wasn't supposed to be the hero? The irony flew right past me. Mike was and will always be a meat head, while Archie will get up and go to work.

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin
Franco: And I also don't get "competitive". He is the kind of competitor who wants to buy off the referees and walk away with the trophy.

Yep, that's it. And isn't that how he won a seat in the Illinois Senate?

Dan Hanson
Joined
Aug '10
Dan Hanson

The difference between Obama and recent Republican presidents is that when the economy went south for the Republicans, the media began an endless drumbeat of doom. 

George Bush faced media reports and articles which constantly talked down the economy.  I can remember hand-wringing articles and op-eds breathlessly declaring that 2001-2003 represented the worst economy in memory.  When the economy did pick up, the recovery was always prefixed as a 'jobless' recovery. 

Now, we are actually IN the worst economy since the great depression, but the media behaves very differently.  The bad news is soft-pedaled, and every shred of good news is presented as 'green shoots' or signs that the economy is beginning a robust recovery.  And of course, there are plenty of media shills helping to cast blame for the poor economy everywhere except at Obama's feet. 

This is the biggest liability for Republicans going into this election - the mainstream media will act effectively as an arm of the Obama campaign.   Think of what that represents in terms of campaign contributions - how much would Romney have to pay for ad buys to counteract the hundreds of TV hours of free shilling Obama will receive?

Indaba
Joined
Apr '12
Indaba

If the articulate Mr. Whittle did a movie comparison of the life of Romney versus a movie of the life of Obama - bam!. He gave a taste of it comparing Alinsky to Reagan.

Midget Faded Rattlesnake
Joined
Aug '10
Midget Faded Rattlesnake

So Brooks's argument is still that "When you're stylin', when you're stylin', the whole world styles with you."

Comforting to see that some things don't change. I guess.


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