Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
General Election:
(IBD/TIPP) Romney 43, Obama 47 Obama +4
(WashTimes/JZ Analytics) Romney 47, Obama 50 Obama +3
(CBS News) Romney 46, Obama 48 Obama +2
(ABC News/Wash Post) Romney 48, Obama 49 Obama +1
(Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun) Romney 48, Obama 45 Romney +3
(Rasmussen Reports) Romney 50, Obama 46 Romney +4
(Gallup) Romney 51, Obama 45 Romney +6
Presidential Race by State:
Connecticut: (SurveyUSA) Obama 53, Romney 40 Obama +13
Iowa: (Rasmussen Reports) Obama 48, Romney 48 Tie
North Dakota: (Rasmussen Reports) Romney 54, Obama 40 Romney +14
Ohio: (Suffolk) Obama 47, Romney 47 Tie
New Hampshire: (UNH) Obama 51, Romney 42 Obama +9
North Dakota: (Forum/Essman) Romney 57, Obama 32 Romney +25
Pennsylvania: (Morning Call) Obama 50, Romney 45 Obama +5
Pennsylvania: (Gravis Marketing) Obama 48, Romney 45 Obama +3
Washington: (Strategies 360 (D)) Obama 52, Romney 39 Obama +13
Senate Races:
Connecticut: (Rasmussen Reports) (D) Murphy 48, (R) McMahon 47 Murphy +1
Connecticut: (SurveyUSA) (D) Murphy 47, (R) McMahon 43 Murphy +4
Maryland: (Washington Post) (D) Cardin 53, (R) Bongino 22, (I) Sobhani 14 Cardin +31
North Dakota: (Rasmussen Reports) (R) Berg 50, (D) Heitkamp 45 Berg +5
Ohio: (Suffolk) (D) Brown 46, (R) Mandel 39 Brown +7
Pennsylvania: (Morning Call) (D) Casey 45, (R) Smith 37 Casey +8
Gubernatorial Races:
Washington: (Strategies 360 (D)) (D) Inslee 46, (R) McKenna 46 Tie
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Comments:
Dec '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
What is really going on in NH? Do we have any members on the ground there, a first-hand report would be awesome.
Feb '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
On NH, unless they only polled the UNH campus, there is no way Obama is up by 9. At best (for Obama) it's a tie.
Feb '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
This is a baffling combination of national polls---Obama's either up by as much as four or down by as much as six. If everyone's margin of error is 4% or so, then some of these polls just have bad underlying presumptions. I'm sure some math genius could confirm this.
Dec '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
I just polled everyone who works at my desk. Romney's a lock.
Seriously, though, that's good to hear. Care to elaborate?
Feb '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
das_motorhead
I just polled everyone who works at my desk. Romney's a lock.
Seriously, though, that's good to hear. Care to elaborate? · 16 minutes ago
I live in a very Blue corner of the state. What I see and hear around me is 50/50.
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Why does RCP include a crap poll like Zogby in their aggregate?
Jul '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
To keep things interesting
Oct '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
This just reinforces my decision not to put much stock in the polling. It's all over the map (to quote Obama).
Aug '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
I think Rasmussen and Gallup are the most accurate because they show my guy in the lead.
Edited on October 23, 2012 at 7:26pmOct '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
With how NH so totally flipped to the GOP just 2 years ago, I am skeptical to say the least that Obambi leads by 9 here. And unless Obambi wins NH by 9, my contempt for polls in general and the time and energy they consume will be complete. In fact, it will equal my contempt for Obambi himself.
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
The real news is that Gallup's results are consistent over time and that Rasmussen is beginning to get results that look a lot like Gallup's.
There are two weeks left. It will break in Romney's direction.
Mar '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Paul A. Rahe: The real news is that Gallup's results are consistent over time and that Rasmussen is beginning to get results that look a lot like Gallup's.
There are two weeks left. It will break in Romney's direction. · 4 minutes ago
Let just pray there is spill over effect with Senate races. The polls are not looking good for balance of Power to be in Republicans favor.
Mar '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
PPP is doing polling for a Democrat Group Americans United for Change.
From Oct 17-19th polling they showed Obama +2.
From Oct 20-Oct22 they show Romney +2.
This is a 5 point shift to Romney in week following the 2nd Debate. Please tell me again how it was that Obama "won" the second debate?
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Paul A. Rahe: The real news is that Gallup's results are consistent over time and that Rasmussen is beginning to get results that look a lot like Gallup's.
There are two weeks left. It will break in Romney's direction. · 1 hour ago
I can never say things like that with such confidence. The first election I was old enough for was 1996, but the first one I followed closely with a rooting interest was Bush-Gore 2000. I was absolutely confident Bush was pulling away in the last week, and then it all fell apart on the final weekend, or even final day. It scarred me for life.
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
wmartin
Paul A. Rahe: The real news is that Gallup's results are consistent over time and that Rasmussen is beginning to get results that look a lot like Gallup's.
There are two weeks left. It will break in Romney's direction. · 1 hour ago
I can never say things like that with such confidence. The first election I was old enough for was 1996, but the first one I followed closely with a rooting interest was Bush-Gore 2000. I was absolutely confident Bush was pulling away in the last week, and then it all fell apart on the final weekend, or even final day. It scarred me for life. · 6 minutes ago
Shake off the gloom! Be of good cheer! Mitt Romney may have his defects (I fear that he does), but he is supremely disciplined. Bush was not.
Jan '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Well over in Britland I'm going to vote for Romney. Oh wait..
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Paul A. Rahe
wmartin
Paul A. Rahe: The real news is that Gallup's results are consistent over time and that Rasmussen is beginning to get results that look a lot like Gallup's.
There are two weeks left. It will break in Romney's direction. · 1 hour ago
I can never say things like that with such confidence. The first election I was old enough for was 1996, but the first one I followed closely with a rooting interest was Bush-Gore 2000. I was absolutely confident Bush was pulling away in the last week, and then it all fell apart on the final weekend, or even final day. It scarred me for life. · 6 minutes ago
Shake off the gloom! Be of good cheer! Mitt Romney may have his defects (I fear that he does), but he is supremely disciplined. Bush was not. · 2 hours ago
Well, tomorrow Donald Trump is apparently going to turn Barack Obama into a sympathetic figure, so maybe we will have the equivalent of the Bush DUI charge after all...
Oct '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
More importantly:
Rasmussenpoll: Swing State Tracking: #Romney 50%, #Obama 45%... http://tinyurl.com/8ecfa2c
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: We've Got Numbers
Campaign finance laws do allow Brits and other foreigners to do campaign calls, for what it's worth.