Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Let's begin with this tidbit from The Transom:
Post/ABC poll is one point Obama lead with a D+4 RV sample. http://vlt.tc/jvt NBC/WSJ poll is a one point Obama lead with a D+11 LV sample. http://vlt.tc/jvu
General Election:
(Pew Research) Obama 50, Romney 47 Obama +3
(NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl) Obama 48, Romney 47 Obama +1
(ABC News/Wash Post) Obama 49, Romney 48 Obama +1
(CNN/Opinion Research) Obama 49, Romney 49 Tie
(Politico/GWU/Battleground) Obama 48, Romney 48 Tie
(Rasmussen Reports) Obama 48, Romney 49 Romney +1
Presidential Race by State:
Arizona: (PPP (D)) Romney 53, Obama 46 Romney +7
Florida: (PPP (D)) Romney 49, Obama 50 Obama +1
Florida: (Florida Times-Union/InAdv) Romney 52, Obama 47 Romney +5
Indiana: (Rasmussen Reports) Romney 52, Obama 43 Romney +9
Iowa: (PPP (D)) Obama 50, Romney 48 Obama +2
Maine: (Critical Insights) Obama 49, Romney 42 Obama +7
Massachusetts: (Western NE University) Obama 58, Romney 40 Obama +18
Massachusetts: (UMass/Boston Herald) Obama 57, Romney 37 Obama +20
Michigan: (Baydoun/Foster (D)) Obama 46, Romney 47 Romney +1
Minnesota: (NMB Research/AFF (R)) Obama 45, Romney 46 Romney +1
Minnesota: Romney vs. Obama KSTP/SurveyUSA Obama 52, Romney 41 Obama +11
Missouri: Romney vs. Obama SurveyUSA Romney 50, Obama 43 Romney +7
Missouri: (PPP (D)) Romney 53, Obama 45 Romney +8
Montana: (Mason-Dixon) Romney 53, Obama 43 Romney +10
Montana: (Rasmussen Reports) Romney 53, Obama 43 Romney +10
Montana: (PPP (D)) Romney 52, Obama 45 Romney +7
New Hampshire: (PPP (D)) Obama 50, Romney 48 Obama +2
New Hampshire: (WMUR/UNH) Obama 51, Romney 48 Obama +3
North Carolina: (Gravis Marketing) Romney 50, Obama 46 Romney +4
North Carolina: (PPP (D)) Romney 49, Obama 49 Tie
Ohio: (Columbus Dispatch) Obama 50, Romney 48 Obama +2
Ohio: (PPP (D)) Obama 52, Romney 47 Obama +5
Pennsylvania: (Tribune-Review/Susquehanna) Obama 47, Romney 47 Tie
Pennsylvania: (Morning Call) Obama 49, Romney 46 Obama +3
Utah: (Mason-Dixon) Romney 70, Obama 25 Romney +45
Virginia: (PPP (D)) Obama 51, Romney 47 Obama +4
Virginia: (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Obama 48, Romney 47 Obama +1
Virginia: (Rasmussen Reports) Obama 48, Romney 50 Romney +2
Senate Races:
Massachusetts: (UMass/Boston Herald) (D) Warren 48, (R) Brown 49 Brown +1
Virginia: (NBC/WSJ/Marist) (D) Kaine 49, (R) Allen 46 Kaine +3
Minnesota: (KSTP/SurveyUSA) (D) Klobuchar 60, (R) Bills 30 Klobuchar +30
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Comments:
Mar '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Everyone? Everyone? I don't see any polls for the People's Republic of Madiganistan, otherwise known as Illinois. You just don't love us anymore.
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Gah! Why are we still doing this...?
I have a theory about polls. They are useful to only two groups of people. First, candidates who are running need polling to asses how their message and tactics are working (thus campaigns take numerous internal polls which they do not reveal to the public for the most part).
The second group of people who need polls are pundits, because pundits are to politics what sports announcers are to sports. The problem is politics isn't sports. There aren't any rules and no one knows what the score is until the game is actually over. So what are these poor people to do? They turn to polls which mimic the scores of political contest.
For campaigns polls may serve a legitimate purpose, for reporters and pundits polls are just an easy way to fill dead air. The difference is that to the public at large polls are irrelevant. They don't help us to choose a candidate to support, and they provide no clarity on the issues.
I mean honestly, what are we getting form these daily poll updates. I think Ricochet is better than this.
(Too late, I know....)
May '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Because the real polls won't happen for another day, and we all get to pretend to be pundits here while we wait.
Also, probably for the same reason I want to know what the spread on the big game is: Not because I think the spread is correct so much as I want confirmation that my growing (hope / dread) has some grounding in fact.
Nov '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Thank you for posting this every day Mollie. Your hard work is appreciated.
And Valiuth: apologize to Mollie for being ungracious.
Edited on November 5, 2012 at 6:16pmMay '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Romney, 341.....or more.
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Everyone is trying to read the tea leaves and it's just driving me bats. I should know better than to look at them. :(
May '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October.
GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher.
Apr '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Ningrim: Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October.
GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher. · 21 minutes ago
And GOP enthusiasm is much higher. That's why the CNN poll with D +11 is so very accurate!!!
May '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
Tom, I am getting a kick out of this repeating comment of yours. I sure hope you're right!
Nov '10
Re: Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone
So based on that (the same time in 2008 it was a swing of 7 points the other way) Romney should win every state where he has even a 1 point deficit in the polling, don't you think?
Ningrim: Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October.
GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher. · 28 minutes ago