Daily Poll Update: Have At It
General Election:
(Gallup Tracking) Romney 51, Obama 45 Romney +6
(Rasmussen Tracking) Romney 49, Obama 48 Romney +1
Presidential Race by State:
Connecticut: (Siena) Obama 53, Romney 38 Obama +15
New Hampshire: (Rasmussen Reports) Obama 50, Romney 49 Obama +1
Nevada: (LVRJ/SurveyUSA) Obama 48, Romney 45 Obama +3
Nevada: (Rasmussen Reports) Obama 50, Romney 47 Obama +3
New Jersey: (Neighborhood Research) (R) Obama 48, Romney 41 Obama +7
Montana: (Rasmussen Reports) Romney 53, Obama 45 Romney +8
Washington: (Rasmussen Reports) Obama 55, Romney 42 Obama +13
Senate Race:
Connecticut: (Siena) (D) Murphy 46, (R) McMahon 44 Murphy +2
Do you think that last night's debate will change the dynamic? I don't, but I thought Ross Douthat had a good point at the end of his post on the debate:
For Obama and his supporters, meanwhile, the hope has to be that Romney’s post-Denver bounce was just that: A temporary surge that could be blunted and reversed by simply reasserting the White House’s narrative – that Romney is an out-of-touch plutocrat and ideological extremist, whereas Obama is a champion of the middle class – much more effectively and eloquently than the president did in the first debate.
The question now is whether that kind of straightforward reassertion is all Obama needed, or whether the public’s post-Denver willingness to consider Romney anew shifted the dynamics of the race in a way that a closely-fought debate can’t quite reverse. That’s something that no snap survey can tell us. The proof will be in the polls a week from now.
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Comments:
Mar '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Have At It
Last night will shore up the base, but not move the needle of momentum. Romney received the boost that all challengers receive in the first debate, which is immediate credibility. He made the most of it by showing himself as presidential. I think he'll do better in the next debate when Libya comes up, and I hope that when Obama starts touting his foreign policy experience, Romney smacks him down by saying that if Obama can learn on the job, anyone can.
Jul '12
Re: Daily Poll Update: Have At It
McMahon's ads against Murphy have been absolutely devastating. Some of the best I've ever seen. If she does not wallop him then Connecticut is as hopeless as California.
Nov '11
Re: Daily Poll Update: Have At It
What's up with Rasmussen swing state polling showing Obama up 50-47? If that's accurate, Romney better do well in the next debate. On the other hand, Romney seemed to be debating like the frontrunner last night. I'm positive he'd have been throwing more haymakers if the internal polling showed him trailing. Maybe Gallup is closer to the truth...