Buddy Roemer All The Way!
Public Policy Polling issued its final tracking poll for New Hampshire before the vote tomorrow. Mitt Romney is holding steady at 35 percent, although some think he will do much better in his home state. (Or one of his home states.)
Ron Paul has 18 percent and Jon Huntsman is experiencing his little surge with 16 percent. Newt Gingrich is at 12 percent and Rick Santorum is at 11 percent. The most surprising nugget? That would definitely be that Buddy Roemer (who?) is polling ahead of Rick Perry, 3 percent to 1 percent.
So the expectations have been set. Is this how you think things will go tomorrow? What would it take for Romney to exceed or fail to meet expectations? What about for Paul and Huntsman? And what needs to happen to shake things up in South Carolina?
My favorite New Hampshire story of the day -- and yes, I'm already punchy -- is this one about how Carl Paladino trash talks the non-Gingrich candidates in the race.
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Jun '10
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
I worked with Buddy's daughter for several years back in the late nineties (shes a Louisiana girl, but lived in Utah and Colorado for a while). I was able to meet her father once when he came to town on business. He was a very impressive man. With time and money, he could have become a semi-serious candidate, and a much better one than Huntsman and others in the race.
One of his great claims to fame is that he was the first Louisiana governor in many years to complete his term without being indicted.
I'm not sure his motivation in this one, but it was obviously too little too late.
One problem: Could the country really handle a president named "Buddy"? Remember how well it worked the last time we elected a southerner whose first name ended in "y."
Edited on Jan 9 at 7:07amSep '10
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
If Roemer gets more votes than Perry will he be let into the SC and FL debates? If he is not will Perry be dropped also?
Dec '10
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
This Ron Paul supporter, for the record, likes him some Buddy as well. Heck, I would be half-OK with Huntsman.
The Republican electorate mystifies me. It's not like I can't get behind some of the people running, with various degrees of enthusiasm. I just have a lot of trouble getting behind the Barack Obama / Dubya retreads everyone else seems to like.
Dec '10
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
I almost feel sorry for New Hampshire. The state is so predictable as to be utterly boring.
Mar '11
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
The expectations game is a meaningless media concoction. Let's just wait for the votes to be tallied, and congratulate the actual winner; not the media's beater of expectations.
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
There is absolutely no need to wait to congratulate Mitt Romney for winning New Hampshire. Politics is about so much more than that. I mean, I know Santorum actually ended up winning Iowa but even before we knew that, his 8 points from winning was good enough to mean he won Iowa.
Expectations is a big part of the game. Particularly when people have spent so much time and money trying to get votes.
But, then again, I'm a member of the media ...
Mar '11
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
Expectations is a big part of the game. Particularly when people have spent so much time and money trying to get votes.
But, then again, I'm a member of the media ... · Jan 9 at 8:37am
The media create unrealistic--and often misinformed--expectations, and then they are shocked and think it is big news when their expectations are wrong. So much of what passes as "news" today is simply parlor games invented by the media themselves.
Newt Gingrich is at 12 percent in the poll you cite. Would it really be big news if he actually gets--for example--16 percent--which is within the margin of error I assume--to finish in 2nd place (with Paul and Huntsman dropping a couple of points)? No. But the media will spin such a result as a Newt comeback.
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
Andrew Barrett
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
Expectations is a big part of the game. Particularly when people have spent so much time and money trying to get votes.
But, then again, I'm a member of the media ... · Jan 9 at 8:37am
The media create unrealistic--and often misinformed--expectations, and then they are shocked and think it is big news when their expectations are wrong. So much of what passes as "news" today is simply parlor games invented by the media themselves.
Newt Gingrich is at 12 percent in the poll you cite. Would it really be big news if he actually gets--for example--16 percent--which is within the margin of error I assume--to finish in 2nd place (with Paul and Huntsman dropping a couple of points)? No. But the media will spin such a result as a Newt comeback. · Jan 9 at 9:19am
No, but if Gingrich placed last that would be news, right?
Mar '11
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
No, but if Gingrich placed last that would be news, right? · Jan 9 at 12:01pm
This is my point -- the actual vote totals and final candidate rankings are news. Not meeting the media's self-generated expectations is not news, however.
Jul '11
Re: Buddy Roemer All The Way!
I voted for Buddy Roemer once. He was better than a career criminal and a clansman yet still managed to only serve one term.