An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Karen ·
Feb 10, 2011 at 5:45pm
I recently read this article by National Security Correspondent JJ Green, and I wanted to know if it freaks anyone else out. Of course, Claire and Judith have done an extraordinary job of educating me, and this systematic plan only reinforces their assertions. Green links a Der Spiegel article from 2005 that discusses a book written by Fouad Hussein entitled "al-Zarqawi - al-Qaida's Second Generation,"which claims to reveal what al-Qaida really wants. As Green says, "the most important factor here is that this strategy was written about 25 years ago by Ayman al Zawahiri, Al Qaida's number [2], who had significant contacts with the Muslim Brotherhood at the time." Below is the planned timeline from the article:
- The First Phase; Known as "the awakening" -- this has already been carried out and was supposed to have lasted from 2000 to 2003, or more precisely from the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 in New York and Washington to the fall of Baghdad in 2003. The aim of the attacks of 9/11 was to provoke the US into declaring war on the Islamic world and thereby "awakening" Muslims. "The first phase was judged by the strategists and masterminds behind al-Qaida as very successful," writes Hussein. "The battle field was opened up and the Americans and their allies became a closer and easier target." The terrorist network is also reported as being satisfied that its message can now be heard "everywhere."
- The Second Phase;"Opening Eyes" is, according to Hussein's definition, the period we are now in and should last until 2006. Hussein says the terrorists hope to make the western conspiracy aware of the "Islamic community." Hussein believes this is a phase in which al-Qaida wants an organization to develop into a movement. The network is banking on recruiting young men during this period. Iraq should become the center for all global operations, with an "army" set up there and bases established in other Arabic states.
- The Third Phase;This is described as "Arising and Standing Up" and should last from 2007 to 2010. "There will be a focus on Syria," prophesies Hussein, based on what his sources told him. The fighting cadres are supposedly already prepared and some are in Iraq. Attacks on Turkey and -- even more explosive -- in Israel are predicted. Al-Qaida's masterminds hope that attacks on Israel will help the terrorist group become a recognized organization. The author also believes that countries neighboring Iraq, such as Jordan, are also in danger.
- The Fourth Phase;Between 2010 and 2013, Hussein writes that al-Qaida will aim to bring about the collapse of the hated Arabic governments. The estimate is that "the creeping loss of the regimes' power will lead to a steady growth in strength within al-Qaida." At the same time attacks will be carried out against oil suppliers and the US economy will be targeted using cyber terrorism.
- The Fifth Phase;This will be the point at which an Islamic state, or caliphate, can be declared. The plan is that by this time, between 2013 and 2016, Western influence in the Islamic world will be so reduced and Israel weakened so much, that resistance will not be feared. Al-Qaida hopes that by then the Islamic state will be able to bring about a new world order.
- The Sixth Phase;Hussein believes that from 2016 onwards there will a period of "total confrontation." As soon as the caliphate has been declared the "Islamic army" it will instigate the "fight between the believers and the non-believers" which has so often been predicted by Osama bin Laden.
- The Seventh Phase;This final stage is described as "definitive victory." Hussein writes that in the terrorists' eyes, because the rest of the world will be so beaten down by the "one-and-a-half billion Muslims," the caliphate will undoubtedly succeed. This phase should be completed by 2020, although the war shouldn't last longer than two years.
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Comments :
May '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
I don't see it happening exactly as laid out above, nor as quickly or inevitably; but the threat of an Islamic war to conquer the entire world is not only real, it's been ongoing throughout history.
Jul '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
During which step will the so-called moderate Muslims arise from their bland existence and turn to violence, as the Turks did to their Armenian neighbors?
Jul '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
During which step will the so-called moderate Muslims arise from their bland existence and squelch the violence, as the...... oh, wait....
Dec '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
It's just a plan. They have been pursuing it for generations, but their is no inevitability to its fruition. They have vast petrodollars behind them, to fund their effort. They have infiltrated most of our institutions with smiles and petrodollars.
All we have to do to thwart them is:
1] Ridicule them
2] Flank them
3} Defeat them
Everyday, in everyway, we must advocate energy self-sufficiency. We, in the U.S., don't get much of our energy from the Middle East. Most comes from Canada, the next two are Mexico and Venezuela, which is why Hizbollah have moved into those two countries. Canada is being attacked from without and within, but it is always about bringing the U.S. down.
Although I was born and raised as an American, I was born and raised overseas. I have had people tell me, to my face, what they planned to do. I never conceived of it as possible, but always have born in mind that there are smart, effective, determined people that hate the U.S.A. Not because we were ever imperialistic, because smart foreigners know that has never been the case, in our history.
Continued
Dec '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
When I was 23, I began working for the NMFS as a Foreign Fisheries Observer, in the Bering Sea. I was fluent in Russian, so, naturally, I was assigned to Japanese ships. Eventually, I worked my way up to Soviet vessels and that was a mess. Typically, we had at least two Americans on board, sometimes many more. My fellow Americans were not always impressive. Often they were just plain drunk.
There came a time when many Soviet vessels were gathered, south of the Pribiloffs, and I was "requested" to join the other Americans on the flagship. That meant a basket-transfer between ships, but it was calm, so no big deal, right? At the last minute, I was joined by somebody I didn't know, a Kahzak. There was nobody I didn't know on my entire ship, so this guy had been brought in. Everybody already knew the Ka Geh Beh guys and girls on the ship, this was somebody different.
We trundled out, over the ocean, and then he waved his arm and the basket stopped. Then he slid into perfectly unaccented English. He gestured off towards the peaks of the Alaskan edge and said
Dec '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
"Christopher, you see this? This was once ours and it will be, again. Your people are weak and they do not have will". I stared ice into his eyes and knew that he knew I was a careful and honest scientist, somebody that had tried to save one of his deck crew that didn't survive. Then he waved his arm and we crept down to the mother ship, where there was a great gathering of American scientists in the Captain's quarters, all drunk off their burros.
I could tell you other stories, about other countries, but they follow a similar theme: it is always that America, as a country, can't be defeated militarily, but that it could be hamstrung, indecisive, and mooted. There are many enemies of the U.S. that believe that with joint effort, they could possibly bring us down. They are right, especially as they target funding towards our environmental groups.
Americans tend to be softies, not having seen real suffering. Most of the people that were barfing drunk on Soviet ships, back then, have policy roles, now. I do not. I am completely outside the mainstream of Biology.
We must become self sufficient.
May '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
I don't see this as inevitable, but I think it is compelling in its specificity and similarities to events in recent years. I'm not suggesting it's some kind of prophesy or grave prediction, but that they are uncompromising in their intent. How could anyone doubt it?
I agree, CJRun, it should be seen as a call for the US to become more self sufficient. I think it should also remind us that we as a country need to think long term in our efforts to weaken them and their influence. Not only are Americans "softies," they tend to have very short memories.
Edited on Feb 10, 2011 at 7:40pmJul '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
I think by far the most intriguing prediction of Islamist expansionism has been in the realm of science fiction. Robert Ferrigno's book "Prayers for the Assassin" was set in 2040ish America where the former US is split into Christian and Muslim halves following a 2nd Civil War. The split had much less to do with conquest but more to do with conversion and a lack of cultural confidence and a search for meaning in post-modern America. The answer? Islam of course.
In the book, he predicts that Europe basically becomes a demographic basket-case due to birthrates and immigration. Maybe a Frankenstein Caliphate will emerge in Europe as well as the Middle East. (How does the Islamic Republic of France sound?)
It doesn't seem so outlandish. In 50 years...could America find itself facing a very hostile Europe with few allies for a 3rd time?
Oct '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Nice post, Karen. Wonderful synopsis. And CJ is right to bring up the subject of cultural hegemony in this context because it is the strength or weakness of "western" culture that will determine the success or failure of the Islamist strategy. If we, "the west" continue our hedonistic self-indulgance and devolution of civic and moral virtue, we will become a subject people under an Islamic caliphate. Like Rome we will not fall due to external force but as a result of inward decay.
Oct '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Sounds very ambitious to me, but not practical in the modern world. This sort of approached worked in the early 20th century, but in the 21st too many things can go wrong, since too many people have access to too much information. Especially when dealing with a population as large and ethnically diverse as Muslims. It seems to me that a war based on theocratic nationalism would be ripped to threads by ethnic divisions.
The less extreme strategy of the political Islamists, of partly radicalizating Muslim populations and getting the radicals to out-reproduce the rest, is far more of a threat. Yet even there, the sheer mass of information flowing around the world is problematic. This may be why Islamists rely on Israel-bashing so much, and I'm curious to see what will happen to that narrative when the Palestinians and the Israelis finally decide on a peace agreement.
Sep '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Notice how he says that the goal of 9/11 was to induce the US to declare war on "the Islamic World thereby awakening Muslims." Not just a war on terrorism. Apparently they are not expecting much opposition from all the masses of "moderate" "mainstream" Muslims in their midst, or the in West for that matter. I have thought for some time that there may very well be an all out war between the West (and maybe some of the East) and Islamic nations at some point.
Oct '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Of course not; most likely they plan to purge any moderate who refuses to join their ideology. Remember, at one point the Turkish Armenians were in the same party as their future murderers.
Also, I doubt you could sustain a sectarian nationalist movement with multiple ethnic groups. Especially not given the differences; could you imagine Kurds getting behind this? I suspect that if al-Qaida gets its way, we'll see a modern Muslim incarnation of the 30 Years War.
For all its grand plans, I don't think al-Qaida is the real threat when it comes to Islamist nation building.
Jul '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
I can validate CJRun's account from the flip side. Living in the DC area it is surprisingly easy to run into these dreams of conquest types, especially growing up. Kids in school say the darnedest things.
The soft Americans line has been heard before, too. Beaten down economically by the vain machinations of the worst President of the 20th Century, accounted as soft and decadent by our enemies around the globe, we also rose up under the same President in response to Pearl Harbor and outfought the "strong" tyrants in a total war.
Since 9/11, our so-called MSM has been on a mission to save the world from our wrath. The no-play lists of songs were almost immediately out. Directives to stop ever playing the mountains of footage of the Twin Towers and the Pentagon. And, of course, this Hussein of a President we let them saddle us with.
Is this coming primary going to be the one where everyone must register Republican to vote Republican? Or will the Republicans let the Dems saddle them with another McCain/Dole/life-like candidate through crossover voting tactics?
May '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Sounds very cargo cultish to me. No Caliphate is going to arise and make a serious challenge to the West. These people cannot build cars and tanks and guns and anything they need. They have oil and money from that oil. And a lot of angry people. If they are so dangerous, why has there not been another 9/11?
We are a republic. As such, we wait until the last moment to do anything. A significant attack on America will result in a more deadly response. While there are some weak-kneed types in America, I think it is clear that the majority of Americans are not that way. I am not worried out culture will be overwhelmed by a more primitive one that casts itself in a 9th century mode.
If it were not for oil, the Middle East would be as dangerous as Central Africa.
Nov '10
Re: An Islamic Caliphate in Seven Easy Steps
Radicals always underestimate the power of nationalism in thwarting internationalist ambitions. No matter how hard the Communists tried they could never convince a Polish worker that he had more in common with a Chinese worker than with his Polish boss. Trying to unite Indonesians, Arabs, Kurds, Turks, Persians and Africans under a single banner is similarly doomed to failure.