Alexei Navalny

Dubbed the blogger who could start Russia's own Arab Spring by Hoover research fellow Paul Gregory, Alexei Navalny has become the face of the Russian opposition movement in recent years. 

Navalny began his anti-corruption, pro-transparency crusade in 2008 as a minor shareholder of large, state-owned corporations like Gazprom, Rosneft, Transneft, and VTB bank. Owning stock at these companies provided Navalny with an entrée to senior management, whom he hounded with tough, uncomfortable questions about the operation and administration of the businesses, their relationships with government officials, and allegations of malfeasance.

Building on his mission to combat corruption, this year Navalny has made Putin's United Russia party–which Navalny famously christened the "party of crooks and thieves" – the target of his efforts. 

And this past Monday, December 5th, Navalny summoned his large internet following (BBC estimates his blog readership to be about 60,000 and growing, and his Twitter account has over 128,000 followers) to a 7pm demonstration at Chistye Prudy park to protest the rigged parliamentary election.

Picture 2

Thousands showed up to join him.  Putin responded by sending 50,000 troops into Moscow, arresting Navalny and some 300 other demonstrators, and staging a counter demonstration to prove that in fact, many people can still be paid or otherwise persuaded into supporting the prime minister's party.  Putin's response is a giant miscalculation, writes Paul Gregory.

Putin can sentence uncooperative oligarchs like Khodorkovsky to Siberia on trumped up charges.  Navalny is a more difficult case. I imagine that Putin’s minions are gathering “kompromat” on Navalny. There have been or will be threats against his family. He will be arrested periodically, but each time Navalny’s stature will grow. If he is somehow silenced, hundreds of other Navalnys will emerge like sprouting mushrooms to take his place.

A blogger like Alexei Navalny, now with the de facto support of Mikhail Gorbachev, could very well pave the way to a major upheaval in Russian politics. His is a name to know and watch.

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flownover
Joined
Aug '10
flownover

Let's hope for this man with the giant bullseye on his back. I think the Arab Spring may be a misnomer, but we can hope a country like Russia may be able to find democracy someday. Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn once in a while.

Nyadnar17
Joined
Dec '10
Nyadnar17

Should keep this man in our prayers. Putin isn't a thug like those Arab leaders...he is a professional and infinitely more dangerous. 

Edited on Dec 7, 2011 at 11:44am
Illiniguy
Joined
Mar '11
Illiniguy

Consider the difference between those in this country who, with the protection of the First Amendment, take to the streets over trivial or imagined injustices, and guys like this who actually speak truth to power about the lack of liberty, and risk their lives in the process. 

Edited on Dec 7, 2011 at 11:59am
Paul A. Rahe

Navalny has managed by means of a single demonstration to unmask the Putin dictatorship. I would not, alas, be willing to bet that he has long to live.

Valiuth
Joined
Apr '11
Valiuth

Maybe there is hope for Russia after all. I have feared that having failed to ride Communism into glory the Russians under Putin were going to give Fascism a try. I mean they still are...but it is good to know that there are Russians resisting and demanding a free and open democracy. 

Not JMR
Joined
Nov '10
Not JMR

^^agreed. It's going to be a krasnyi dekabrya.

EDIT: As much as I would like to be agreeing with Valiuth, I actually meant I was agreeing with Prof. Rahe. 

Edited on Dec 7, 2011 at 12:19pm
Diane Ellis, Ed.
Valiuth: Maybe there is hope for Russia after all. I have feared that having failed to ride Communism into glory the Russians under Putin were going to give Fascism a try. I mean they still are...but it is good to know that there are Russians resisting and demanding a free and open democracy.  · Dec 7 at 12:15pm

Yes. And I was cheered by Paul Gregory's optimism:

Putin knows what to do with the Khodorkovskys, the Kasyanov’s, and investigative reporters. He has no idea how to manage the blogosphere and Alexei Navalny.

Prompted by Navalny’s blog, Russians now commonly refer to Putin’s United Russia as the “Party of Crooks and Thieves.”  Totalitarian regimes can survive almost everything with the exception of becoming an object of amusement and derision.

So far Navalny has been an irritating thorn in Putin’s side, but that thorn threatens to infect the whole body. Putin’s halo of popularity has disappeared. His image is now determined by Navalny and the Russian internet.

Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius
Paul A. Rahe: Navalny has managed by means of a single demonstration to unmask the Putin dictatorship. I would not, alas, be willing to bet that he has long to live. · Dec 7 at 12:11pm

I don't mean to trample on Diane's optimism, but I fear he will be an early martyr. Putin is beyond ruthless and I still remember Krauthammer's column about Putin's remote control radioactive poisoning venture in the UK. The message Putin wanted to send was:

"We'll kill you anywhere, anytime, any place"

Don't get me wrong; I hope Diane is right, I fear Paul is though.

flownover
Joined
Aug '10
flownover

Diane Ellis, Ed.

His image is now determined by Navalny and the Russian internet.

Dec 7 at 12:37pm

Anybody want to bet on some massive internet problems due any day now in Russia ?

Snow Bird
Joined
Feb '11
Snow Bird

Do we really want an 'Arab Spring' in Russia? The Arab Spring is rapidly becoming the 'Islamist Spring' and a potential American and Israeli geopolitical nightmare. A Russian version could well be equally unsavory.

Michael Labeit
Joined
May '10
Michael Labeit

Simply put, he will either end up dead or locked up unless he leaves Russia.

dogsbody
Joined
Sep '10
dogsbody

Diane, thanks for letting us know about this man.  I'll keep him in my prayers.

By the way, I just love the fact that митинг is now a Russian word!

Diane Ellis, Ed.
Snow Bird: Do we really want an 'Arab Spring' in Russia? The Arab Spring is rapidly becoming the 'Islamist Spring' and a potential American and Israeli geopolitical nightmare. A Russian version could well be equally unsavory. · Dec 7 at 5:53pm

The unknowns in Russia seem less scary to me.  I don't know if that's justified or not, but I guess I feel confident that Russia doesn't have an equivalent of the Muslim Brotherhood that's lurking in the background, ready to jump in at a moment's notice to fill the void.  What I hope for in the best case scenario is that a younger generation–guys like Navalny in their 30's and 40s who don't have a history in the KGB or the communist party– are able to burst onto the scene. But, that might be a pipe dream considering that the opposition movement is nascent and undeveloped.


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