In an interview with CNS news, social conservative and possible presidential contender Rick Santorum said he was surprised that Obama, as a black man, does not oppose abortion.

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Here's what he said:

The question is, and this is what Barack Obama didn't want to answer -- is that human life a person under the Constitution and Barack Obama says no...Well if that human life is not a person then I find it almost remarkable for a black man to say 'now we are going to decide who are people and who are not people.'

I'm having trouble embedding the video, but you can watch the clip here.

Of course, any invocation of Obama's race--especially as applied to abortion--is not going to go unnoticed by the mainstream media. Consider the headlines: "Obama's Race Means He Should Oppose Abortion" (Slate), "Santorum: Obama's Race Should Shape Abortion View" (NPR), and "Rick Santorum Invokes Obama's Race on Abortion" (Washington Post).

But was Santorum's remark a "racial remark...a racial slur...a racial whatever," as Greta Van Susteren asked him in a follow up interview? Santorum says no, but he's unapologetic about citing Obama's race. That's in part because the media's coverage glazes over the substance of his argument. He explained to Van Susteren:

My point was that the 14th Amendment was passed to make sure that blacks in America were protected by the Constitution, were considered people, because tragically, horribly, for 100 years or more in this country, they weren't. And so the point I was trying to make is that here we have another situation where the courts have said that a group of people, a group of human beings, are not people and that they should be. I -- I -- and that they're property. And they can be...

VAN SUSTEREN: I think where the discussion (INAUDIBLE) sort of, like, goes off the rails and everyone gets all revved up is when the word "black" is used. Everyone wonders whether or not it is done for racial reasons or if it's done for historic reference. You know, what's the purpose of it?

SANTORUM: The purpose here was that -- and this is an argument that has been made by the pro-life movement for as long as I've heard the argument. I've heard it from Bill Buckley and heard it from Ronald Reagan, actually heard it from Jesse Jackson back in the 1970s, when he was pro- life. He used to make this argument all the time, that when you treat a child, a child in the womb as property, it's the equivalent of what happened during the first part of this country, when we had this huge scar on us that we did not treat blacks as people.

And -- and the pro-life movement says, and I agree with them, that we should not treat the child in the womb as property, we should treat them as a human being and give them protections entitled under the 14th Amendment....

I find his argument to be quite compelling. Do you? And what would the liberal counter-argument be to his reasoning?

A plane crashes, anywhere: Headline news.

This happens every day: Not news at all.

ciragan_palace

I just have to think that Iranian chief negotiator Saeed Jalili is enjoying the Çırağan Palace a lot, and could probably be persuaded to stay for years. Formerly the residence of the last Ottoman sultans, the Palace on the Bosphorus waterfront is really the kind of place you might want to relax and enjoy, rather than stressing about uranium enrichment.

Every member of the staff appears to have been bred or perhaps genetically modified for slavishness and an abiding devotion to the principle that the hotel’s guests are great and terrifying demi-gods. When they greet you in the elevator (by your title and last name, which they will remember), asking if there is anything they can do to make you more comfortable, they give the impression that all of human history has culminated in this, their moment of perfect fulfillment: A chance to make you happier. Of course, it costs money to buy this kind of love—35,000 Euros a night for the Grand Sultan’s suite, to be precise—but it’s reassuring to know that for the right price, love can indeed be bought.    

How do I know this? I had an assignment once to review this hotel--one that sadly did not involve staying there. I took a tour with one of the women whose job it is to keep the guests' butts buttered in any flavor of butter they like. ("Certainly, sir, we'll have the ylang-ylang butt-butter hand-transported by caravan from Tibet immediately ... ") I spent several hours with her. Now, I've never really given much thought to the question, "What's really going on behind the scenes at one of the world's great luxury hotels," but it's very obvious, once you start asking, that it's an operation that requires a truly military amount of discipline. For example: Every time we passed a guest, this woman smiled as if never in her life had she been so shyly but profoundly delighted to see someone's face. It was totally convincing. If I hadn't seen her doing it to 50 guests, serially, I would have said that each and every one of them was a Nobel Laureate who happened to be her beloved elderly uncle, a man toward whom she felt an infinite secret tenderness even as she felt an awe of his authority and importance. She immediately addressed the guest by name. "Good morning, Mr. Wassenfeffer!" If he seemed in the mood, she would add, "How is your room? Is there anything we can do today to make you more comfortable?" She said this as if she really meant it, as if making Mr. Wassenfeffer more comfortable was the very reason she was put on this planet, as if all of human history had an inevitable trajectory, one meant by a supreme supernatural power to culminate in this, her moment of perfect fulfillment: A chance to make Mr. Wassenfeffer happier. Mr. Wassenfeffer inevitably beamed with delight and pride, clearly persuaded that this pretty, smartly-attired young woman remembered his name and wished with all her being better to butter his butt because he is the sort of man an attractive lady naturally would remember; a man who cuts a fine and impressive figure, a man of importance, not to mention a man possessed of a certain je ne sais quoi when it comes to the ladies. 

Now, this hotel has more than 300 rooms, and this woman remembers the name of every single guest. Every one. How does she do that? Well, she told me, there's a Çırağan Palace system. First, the employees are instructed--it is a rule--to use the name, immediately, twice upon the in-room check-in. They are given training classes in which they are advised to make mnemonic devices of the guests' names. But there's a back-up, too: They carry a special program in their cellphones linking the names to the guests' room numbers and physical descriptions. So if caught in the lurch they quickly and discreetly tap the information into the phones, and voila -- "Good morning, Mr. Wassenfeffer, how are you?" I was very impressed by this. I was very impressed by about 100 other things she either told me or inadvertently gave away about how they make the place work the way it does. 

By the way, if ever you plan to stay there, you want to stay in the old palace, not the modern annex. If owing to a temporary financial embarrassment you must stay in paupers’ quarters, ask for room 344: It has the best view and balcony. Another travel tip: Don’t hesitate to ask if you have unusual requests. They live to fulfill them. When last he visited, the president of Iran demanded that all women with uncovered heads be kept from his eyesight. Thus it was. Imagine what they could do if you asked for something that wasn’t an affront to civilized values, not to mention their nation’s dignity.

Mind you, I'd have some sympathy for this request in the case of Catherine Ashton. 

So today in Istanbul, Iran and the P5+1 have resumed talks on the Iranian nuclear program. Strangely, I was not invited to help with the negotiations. I have no idea why they didn't call me, because I'm sure I could have been very clarifying. Instead, they have Catherine Ashton negotiating on behalf of the P5+1. That would be this Catherine Ashton:

The Iranians are, I'm sure, laughing themselves senseless. Can you imagine what they're saying to each other?

At least the good thing about this situation is that Catherine Ashton and the Iranians are being kept busy. It wouldn't be a bad thing for the world if the Turks just kept feeding and housing them for the rest of eternity in that nice hotel, would it? Just let them all chat pleasantly about the phrasing of the press release until the end of time. These are all people, after all, who could--and would--be up to a lot of mischief if they weren't holed up together playing make-believe.

The Turks should definitely encourage them to visit the spa, too. That hotel has an amazing spa. I hope they all indulge in a detoxifying herb and seaweed bath, an avocado and aloe vera body exfoliation, an anti-cellulite deep tissue massage and a toning and rebalancing foot treatment. Obviously, the longer they spend in that hotel doing nothing useful, the better off the rest of the world will be. 

K. E. Campbell, at American Thinker, has done a great job of taking the nation’s economic pulse.  Exactly two years after the inauguration, we no longer have to ask how this hopey changey thing is working out because, utilizing the resources of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor, the USDA,  the Census Bureau, the FDIC and more, Campbell gives us a rundown, by the numbers.   I leave it to you to comment on what the numbers tell us.  But I do think a soundtrack ought to accompany the presentation.  Herewith, I offer the following data, accompanied by the mesmerizing prose of the maestro himself, President Obama: 

“I don't care whether you're driving a hybrid or an SUV. If you're headed for a cliff, you have to change direction. That's what the American people called for in November, and that's what we intend to deliver.”

  • Average Price per Gal. of Gas – From $1.83 per gallon two years ago to $3.104 today and increase of 69.6%.            

“I can make a firm pledge, under my plan, no family making less than $250,000 a year will see any form of tax increase. Not your income tax, not your payroll tax, not your capital gains taxes, not any of your taxes.”

  • Consumer Price Index –From 211.1 in January 2009 to 219.2, an increase of 3.8%.

Since I'm the president and Democrats have controlled the House and the Senate, it's understandable that people are saying, you know, 'What have you done?'”

  • Unemployment Rate – Started at 7.6% on inauguration day, now stands at 9.4%, rising 23.7%.

We need earmark reform, and when I'm President, I will go line by line to make sure that we are not spending money unwisely.”

  • Total Number of Federal Employees (Excluding uniformed military) – Rose from 2,779,000 in January of 2009 to 2,840,000, an increase of 2.2%.

It took a lot of blood, sweat and tears to get to where we are today, but we have just begun. Today we begin in earnest the work of making sure that the world we leave our children is just a little bit better than the one we inhabit today.”

  • Real Med. Household Income – Fell from $50,112 in January 2009 to $49,777 today, a decrease of 0.7%.

“If the people cannot trust their government to do the job for which it exists - to protect them and to promote their common welfare - all else is lost.”

  • Food Stamp Recipients – Jumped from 31,983,716 two years ago to 43,200,878 today, a leap of 35.1%.

“It's time to fundamentally change the way that we do business in Washington. To help build a new foundation for the 21st century, we need to reform our government so that it is more efficient, more transparent, and more creative. That will demand new thinking and a new sense of responsibility for every dollar that is spent.”

  • Unemployment Recipients –Increased from 7,526,598 in January 2009 to 9,183,838, an increase of 22.2%.

“Contrary to the claims of some of my critics and some of the editorial pages, I am an ardent believer in the free market.”

  • Long-Term Unemployed – Exploded from 2.6 million two years ago to 6.4 million today, a whopping 146.2% increase.

“Change will not come if we wait for some other person or some other time. We are the ones we've been waiting for. We are the change that we seek.”

  • Poverty Rate –Changed from 13.2% in 2009 to 14.3% today, an increase of 8.3%.

“I found this national debt, doubled, wrapped in a big bow waiting for me as I stepped into the Oval Office.”

  • National Debt (Trillions) -- Increased from $10.627 Trillion in January 2009 to a staggering $14.052 today, an increase of 32.2%. 

Happy Two Year Anniversary, Mr. President.

tiger_18

With Lileks, Long, Klavan, and Goldberg on board, you know we're going heavy on culture, and that's exactly what happens this week. We cover Whoopi's new play, Tucson, the possibility of repealing HCR, Tiger Moms, Hu's here, whether or not Teddy Rooselvelt really would a Ricochet member, the Golden Globes, and Jonah's strange obession with the TV show "V."  

Sir Link-A-Lot:

  •  It's true. Whoopi Goldberg is actually producing a musical about a "pair of sisters who harmonize gorgeously about their hatred of blacks, gays, Jews and other groups; and the record exec who discovers them decides to repackage them as pop stars, masking their message in coded lyrics." A musical featuring lead characters who hate gays? Good luck with that, Whoopi.
  • Stephen Bochco, who created the seminal cop show Hill Street Blues, tried to re-define the genre with Cop Rock which attempted to combine the musical and the police drama. Needless to say, it didn't work. But it was still a better idea than white supremacist pop stars. This number, Let's Be Careful Out There pretty much speaks for itself.
  • Jonah is recalling the plot of John Singleton's 1995 film Higher Learning correctly, but it did not star Janet Jackson. James is probably thinking of 1993's Poetic Justice, which thankfully is not about Neo-Nazis who speak in iambic pentameter. 
  • Zeitgeist: The Movie is a 2007 documentary film by Peter Joseph. It asserts a number of conspiracy theory-based ideas, including the Christ myth theory, alternative theories for the parties responsible for the September 11th attacks and that bankers manipulate the international monetary system and the media in order to consolidate power. This actually would have been better as a musical. 
  • Still looking for the blog post about movie villains that Andrew and James discuss. Little help, Ricochet?
  • A Lethal Weapon remake? Too soon...
  • Yes, the ABC affiliate in Tucson is KGUN, but it has had those call letters since 1957, long before there was a debate about gun ownership. 
  • No, we are not going to provide a link to a photo of the Tucson gunman in his thong. But we will provide a link to Rob Long's Facebook page. Click at your own risk.
  • Former Representative Paul Kanjorski's (D-Pa.) NYT op-ed may be read here
  • Actually, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell says the Senate will vote on repeal. He's feisty!
  • The Star-Tribune story on new bank charges is here.
  • Tiger Mom Link-a-Palooza: The WSJ original excerpt from Amy Chua's book is here. The NYT waded into the fray with this piece by Kate Zernike and this bravely titled (Amy Chua Is a Wimp) op-ed by David Brooks. Despite Justin Bieber's popularity, Rob Long insists in this Ricochet post that our culture is returning to toughness. The lady herself speaks: Amy Chau's Today show interview. We need therapy just from watching that segment. Finally, Tiger Daughter comes to her mom's defense...we think. 
  • If you search Google Images for "high expectation Asian father," you get this
  • Jonah wrote a great column on the myth of China eating our lunch. Read it. 
  • Ricochet member Kenneth's post Time To Reconsider Free Trade? set off a terrific debate. 
  • However, Ricochet member Aaron Miller wins the highly coveted Podcast Mention of The Week with his post Would TR Really Be On Ricochet?
  • Direct from the Theodore Roosevelt Association's website comes The Story of The Teddy Bear
  • Never seen the notorious speech given Stephen Colbert to the 2006 White House Correspondent's Dinner? No problem, you can see it now. It defines the word awkward.
  • Ricky Gervais' sign off in which he thanks God for being an atheist comes at the very end of this clip. Andrew Klavan blogs about it here.
  • Gervais did a series of podcasts in 2008 with Stephen Merchant and featuring Karl Pilkington that may be the most downloaded podcast series in history. It has since been adapted by HBO into an animated series
  • V. Consider yourself warned.
  • We never miss an episode PJTV's Klavan On The Culture. You shouldn't either.

Music from this week's episode:

The direct link to this week's episode. But please be a mensch and subscribe. Don't use iTunes? Visit our Feedburner page for a number of other subscription options.

Don't miss our special edition of the podcast, The White House Writer's Room. A backstage look at the State of The Union Speech hosted by Peter Robinson. 

The Ricochet Podcast is sponsored by Encounter Books. Our featured title this week is I Can’t Believe I’m Sitting Next To A Republican by Harry SteinAvailable at EncounterBooks.com and for Kindle at Amazon.com.

Encounter Books
Bill McGurn
January 21, 2011

My WSJ colleague James Taranto published a provocative piece yesterday trying to explain the hatred toward Sarah Palin. Well worth a read.  When I spoke to him, he thought that a lot of it is abortion, and the fact that she lives her convictions there (carrying Trig to term even after she knew he had Down).

I think that abortion has a part, but is not the whole story (read James' whole story for some of the other factors). My reasoning is that there are any number of Republican and conservative women who are pro-choice and yet seem to suffer from being considered not quite legitimate. A parallel example might be Clarence Thomas, whom people declare not really being black. To me that is because the left tends to define identity for a "woman," "gay," "black," etc. in highly politicized terms. (Claire, if you are reading, weren't there people who didn't consider Mrs. T a "woman" in this sense -- not that Mrs. T would care).

Point is, James has posted a piece well worth reading. And I'd like to hear the reactions. Again, this isn't about whether Gov. Palin should be the nominee, or even if you agree with her. It's about the nature of the liberal hatred for her. Anyone?

When ObamaCare was voted on last year, North Dakota was represented in the Senate by two Democrats, Byron Dorgan and Kent Conrad.  Both voted aye.

Weeks afterward, Byron Dorgan, who was up for re-election in November, looked over the political situation back home—his likely opponent at the time was John Hoeven, the Republican governor—and announced that he was withdrawing from the race.  John Hoeven—make that Sen. John Hoeven—now holds Byron Dorgan’s seat.

Kent Conrad was up for re-election in 2012.  Was?  Yes, was.  The past tense became necessary the day before yesterday, when Sen. Conrad, like Sen. Dorgan before him, announced that he intended to retire.

Why should this matter to anyone outside, say, Fargo or Bismarck?  Because of the game Dorgan and Conrad both played.  Simply put, they sounded like conservatives back home, then voted with the Democratic leadership in Washington.  It worked.  It worked very, very well.  In 2006, for example, Sen. Conrad was re-elected with 69 percent of the vote.

Now, though, the jig appears to be up.  Voting with the Democratic leadership was one thing when the Party remained centrist, more or less, after the manner of Bill Clinton.  But now?  The Obama-Pelosi-Reid lurch to the left has proven, to folks in North Dakota, flatly unacceptable.

The North Dakota GOP will find itself hard-pressed to find another candidate as popular as John Hoeven.  But there are a lot of solid, clear-eyed, well-spoken Republicans in the state from whom to choose.  Two years is a long, long time, I'll admit.  But I’d be surprised if Conrad’s Democratic seat doesn’t flip to the Republicans in 2012.

Which leads me to a question for the Ricochetoise.

Does the political change in North Dakota represent a deeper change throughout the heartland?  As North Dakota goes, so goes…what?

For many minutes, now, I have tried, very carefully, to excerpt something from this incredible article that is adequately representative of the whole. In the interest of getting the thing in front of your eyeballs as fast as humanly possible, I have given up. Res ipsa loquitur.

(Via Cheryl Miller.)

We've all heard this kind of story--when you poll people to ask whether they'd drive across town to buy a coat that's on sale for 100 dollars off, rather than buying it at the local store, where it isn't, they say, "You bet I would!" But would they drive across town to buy a Mercedes that's on sale for 100 dollars off? Nope. Makes no sense, but that's how people are.

I caught myself doing it last night--I took out cash from a machine that charges me four lira for the privilege when I could have walked three blocks to take it out from my bank's machine. I wouldn't even have minded the walk; it just didn't seem worth it for four lira. Then a five-lira T-shirt caught my eye. I thought it would be comfortable and I liked the color. But I couldn't pull the trigger--it just seemed like a spendthrift impulse purchase. Made no sense, but there you are.

What do you do that's economically irrational?  

In response to my recent post about the solution to Indiana's high prison costs, Ricochet members weighed in with some tough questions.  For example, Ricochet member Palaeologus asked:

What types of minor offenses entail lengthy incarceration in Indiana?

I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess that we're not talking about jaywalkers, first-time drug users, prostitutes, etc.

Just how likely are we to reduce recidivism if penalties disappear? 

These are great questions—in fact, the exact ones that we posed when we started working with the folks from the Council of State Governments (CSG) & Pew.  It was only after reviewing voluminous data and analyses that we concluded that our proposed changes made good sense.  Here are some specifics that helped us understand the need for change:

  • Indiana’s incarceration rate is three times greater than other states in our region.
  • Most of our state prisoners are incarcerated for Class D felonies—the lowest felony.  
  • Indiana is the only state in which all theft-related crimes are classified as a felony.  
    • Our code does not distinguish between someone who has stolen $100 verses someone who has stolen $50,000.  
  • It similarly fails to adequately differentiate amounts for drug possession.  
  • In 2009, one in six of our offenders went to prison for less than ninety days.
  • Indiana’s statutory sentences are the highest in the county. 
    • Examples: Selling three grams of cocaine:
      • Indiana: Min. 20 years; Max 50 years.
      • Texas: Min. 2 years; Max 20 years
      • Wisconsin: No Min.; Max 12.5 years
      • Ohio: Min. Probation; Max 1 year
  • Indiana is not the first state to undertake such reforms.  Texas and Kansas, hardly states thought of as soft on crime, preceded us.

Appreciate the feedback and the questions.  No need to worry; if there’s any place in America you can count on to be firm with criminals, it’s here in the Hoosier State.  

I’m not a “Birther,” although I’ve been labeled as one by various websites based upon a column I wrote called “Obama’s To Blame For the Birther Movement.”  I was also called a racist for writing it.  Left wing civility.

I take the President at his word that he’s a Hawaiian.  However, I can’t for the life of me figure out why he spends tens of thousands of dollars and man hours fighting lawsuits to not show his birth certificate, when he can win them for free by showing it.  I don’t care what his offered rationale is (the Birthers still won’t believe him, etc).  No excuse for not showing his birth certificate is more important than money.

My point of course is that whatever remains of the Birther movement is the fault of the President, who could rub them into irrelevancy for good by the simple act of waiving his birth certificate in front of a judge.  Most people wish he would.

Since every court so far has ruled the President doesn’t have to show his birth certificate, I figured the Birther movement would forever be relegated to the conspiracy dust bin of lingering history along with Oliver Stone’s Kennedy assassination fantasies.

Now cue the Hawaiian Governor Neil Abercrombie, who recently revived the dead controversy for the stated purpose of killing it. I imagine he did so much to the annoyance of the Commander in Chief.

Abercrombie, a Democrat, says he knew the President’s parents, and says he was “here when he was born.”  Wow.  There when he was born?  That’s some close friend! 

Abercrombie vowed to finally put the matter to rest. He promised to show the world Obama’s pacific island birth certificate, and as Governor, he certainly has the access to get it done. Hallelujah!

So far, he can’t find it.  Good grief!  I must admit I find this amusing.  I can only imagine the President, face planted deep in his palm, is not so amused.

Despite fear of being called a Birther, a racist, Goebbels or any other name the vitriol-free left will call me, I ask simply – should this development, coming straight from a high member of the President’s own party as it does,  allow the Birthers new life?

On the train into Manhattan this morning I was surprised to open my beloved New York Post and find our beloved (well, in my circles) former Vice President quoted in an editorial headlined "Cheney Gets It":

"Whether or not there's some measure there in terms of limiting the size of the magazine that you can buy to go with semi-automatic weapons, we've had that in place before. Maybe it's appropriate to re-establish that kind of thing." -- Former Vice President and noted hunter Dick Cheney, yesterday convolutedly endorsing restrictions on the availability of high-capacity handgun magazines

Apparently he does not read Ricochet, or was unpersuaded by what I took to be rather persuasive comments to the contrary when last I posted on this.  

Ursula asked what place Riccos would like to go before the final destination to the great beyond.  I was surprised to see how many of us disliked travel, or had not traveled a lot.  I put this question out there for debate.

I just read this scary story in the Daily Caller, which confirms my worst fears about the Obama Administration and its relationship to organized labor.  About two years ago, I wrote a book length study on behalf of employer organizations called The Case Against the Employee Free Choice Act, which sought to explain the enormous dangers of any efforts to strengthen the statutory protections of labor monopolies.

In working on that book, I was struck by how little success unions had had in winning labor contracts at the bargaining table under a set of stable labor rules that have been tilted in their favor for the past 50 or so years.  The gist of the situation is that workers are now keenly aware that the short term promise of union riches often leads to a loss of jobs in an ever more competitive global economy.

The failure of one means of unionization led rise to other tactics, which went beyond traditional forms of picketing (often by people brought in by the union from other places) to include conscious efforts to get involved in matters of corporate governance and shareholder resolutions to filing, often anonymously, complaints against employers that do not want to come to the bargaining table.  I regard the second of these activities in particular as an unfair labor practice under the applicable definitions that give broad scope to the notion of what counts as interference and coercion.  Indeed when the charges are known to be false, they are just modern versions of old-fashioned defamation in the form of deliberately false statements intended to induce third parties to take hostile actions against the firm.

Bad as private actions of this sort are, it is worse when the government emulates those tactics on labor’s behalf, by relying on the differential enforcement of either overtime of safety laws against those firms that resist union overtures.  The risks of selective enforcement make a mockery of the rule of law by permitting government officials who are supposed to be free from bias, agents on behalf of one side in the disputes that come before them.

This form of behavior is all the more reprehensible because it represents a conscious effort of the Obama administration by explicit action to undo one of the central commitments of the 1947 Taft-Hartley Act, which made it clear that the right to organize also included the right not to organize if workers were so inclined. Any effort by the government to distort worker choice in favor of union cronies should lead to the immediate dismissal from office by those individuals who participate in those practices.

What makes this even worse is that the leadership in this movement comes from the White House itself, often by Presidential instruction and even executive orders.  There is of course always some play in the joints when it comes to issuing these executive orders and setting state policy.  But just as I was deeply upset when the Bush Administration pushed presidential power one step too far in dealing with some national security issues, so too am I upset about how these covert actions are intended to be a form of political payback.  It is one thing for the President to write saccharine columns in the Wall Street Journal which talk about becoming a friend to small business.  It is another thing to stab them in the back by selective prosecution and investigation for political reasons.  For shame.

This is just manifestly false: "With its light, crisp taste, Diet Pepsi gives you all the refreshment you need." All the refreshment you need? As if Pepsi could satisfy the infinite need of the human soul for refreshment? 

It's a big lie. Just like Goebbels. No, I am not comparing Pepsi to the Nazis, I am just saying that Goebbels lied. Oh, and that Pepsi, by the way, is lying. I'm just pointing out--this is a fact, here--that Goebbels' lies led to the Holocaust. And sort of similarly, Pepsi is not really all the refreshment you need. In fact, if you try to refresh yourself on Pepsi alone, I bet you'll be disappointed. I'm saying, and this is just a fact, that lies led to Auschwitz, Treblinka, Sobibor, the rape of Eastern Europe, and the Second World War. I'm not saying that the copy-writers at Pepsi--who are using the same lying technique as the Nazis--are Nazis, I'm just saying they lie, just like the Nazis did. No, I don't know why anyone's offended by my saying this. Frankly, I dont know who got everybody's panties in a wad over this statement. People are so touchy about the Holocaust. 

The only educational topic that could pry me from my Monkees and Duran Duran obsessions in middle and high school was King Tut.

Later in life, I taught ancient civilizations to middle schoolers. I would kill to go to Egypt and see, in person, the tombs and temples depicted so majestically in the many books and videos I've devoured over the past 25 years. (Oops. Strike that. "Kill" and "devoured" reveal the "shocking vituperation and hatred" that feeds my soul.) 

But, alas, my financial situation and the fact that deep, hot, sweaty tombs are not for toddlers prevent me from visiting King Tut's tomb before it is, apparently, sealed off to the public.

Is there one place or one tourist attraction that you want to see before you go to your reward?

Troy Senik’s post Defining College Down  deserves close attention – for it identifies a serious defect in American public policy very much in need of remedy. As the study by Richard Arum and Josipa Roksa  to which Troy points – Academically Adrift: Limited Learning on College Campuses – demonstrates, most of what goes on at institutions of higher education in this country is a terrible waste of time and resources. This is especially true at the larger public universities where next to nothing is learned by students in their first two years on campus. As that same study shows, however, this is far less likely to be the case at our more prestigious private universities and liberal arts colleges.

I do not think that the reforms suggested by Troy would change things much, however. Dormitories exist at the schools where serious learning is far more apt to take place, and nearly all freshman and sophomores at such schools live in dormitories. Moreover, teaching and research are no more separate functions at those institutions than they are at the larger public universities. The reports that Troy cites tell the tale. As CBS News puts it by way of summary:

Not much is asked of students . . . . Half did not take a single course requiring 20 pages of writing during their prior semester, and one-third did not take a single course requiring even 40 pages of reading per week.

If “45 percent of students show no significant improvement in the key measures of critical thinking, complex reasoning and writing by the end of their sophomore years,” it is because, during their first two years in college, they have not been asked to do much critical thinking, complex reasoning, and writing in their courses. That is the bottom line.

I do not doubt that the professoriate is, in part, at fault. The modern public university is a bit like the old Soviet Union. In the latter, the following slogan pertained: we pretend to work, and they pretend to pay us. The modern public university is based on a tacit social contract quite similar in character: students pretend to study, and the professors pretend to teach.

There is more of a reason for this than you might at first think. The real problem is that something like half of the students who go off to college in this country are not prepared to do college-level work and have not the slightest desire to do so. So what happens is that our universities take their parents’ money  or the money that the students themselves have borrowed and give the students what the majority of them want. Of course, a student at one of these universities can get an education if he wants to.  All that he has to do is to seek out those professors who are really interested in teaching and are demanding (and they are, in fact, numerous). The university takes care of those who have no interest in getting an education as well. It is a country club and a brothel all rolled up into one. What more could a half-wit eighteen-year-old ask?

I teach now at Hillsdale College – where the students are made to work very hard and love it. That is what they come expecting, that is why they come, and every year applications jump dramatically (something like 40% last year). I have taught at Yale University and Cornell University, where the same thing is true. But for twenty-four years I taught at the University of Tulsa – a not too terribly selective private university that had its origins as a municipal private university attempting to make up for the absence in Tulsa of a public university.  TU is far more rigorous than Oklahoma State University or the University of Oklahoma, but it is not all that demanding.

Every Fall while there, I taught a course in ancient history aimed at freshman. In my first few years there, in the pep talk I gave on the first day of class, I said the following: “I have sometimes heard it said that at this university there are some students who want a degree but not an education. I cannot believe that anyone would waste a large sum of money and four years on such a thing. But if there is any truth in the claim and if there is anyone here today who falls into this category, that person is in the wrong place – for I am here to give you an education or, at least, the beginning of an education, and this course is not a gut.” Every year, a third of my students self-identified and immediately dropped the course.

I profited from this – I had a class full of enthusiastic students who wanted to learn (a consummation devoutly to be wished), and the whiners and those apt to be resentful had taken flight – but my department lost out.  Our universities are run by bean counters.  In most places, no one asks whether the students are learning anything. The more students a department processes (teach is not the proper word), the more faculty lines it gets. In consequence, for those interested in building academic programs, all of the incentives militate against offering general education courses for freshmen and sophomores that are demanding in any way. A newly minted assistant professor who is demanding is apt to be quickly shown the door.

When I became department chairman and realized the consequences of what I had been doing, I stopped giving that pep talk. I still taught in the same way, however – and each year one-third of my students flunked the course. They took the first exam, flunked it, and did not write any of the papers subsequently due and did not show up for the second exam and the final. Had I really been cynical, I would have dumbed the course down, cut the reading load radically, and stopped requiring that the students write papers. I had colleagues who did just that.

There were, in fact, entire departments who did just that. It was said of the psychology department (which had a distinguished niche graduate program, let me add) that undergraduates who enrolled in the courses it offered could do the reading or attend the lectures but that they certainly did not have to do both, and more than half of those enrolled were awarded A’s. Psychology was, as a consequence, the largest major in the university.

The public universities in Oklahoma, I learned from transfer students, were even less demanding, and the same is true nearly everywhere. While I was at the University of Tulsa, the business school at the University of Arkansas added a math requirement. I guess that they had finally gotten around to thinking that businessmen might need to know how to add, subtract, multiply, divide, and track costs and sales. That semester, I was told by a friend who taught at Arkansas, one third of the students in the business school transferred to the school of communications, which did not have a math requirement. Guess which school then got more resources from the administration to do hires?

So what is amiss? And what can be done? In my judgment, all of this arises from the fact that too many young Americans go off to college. This was not always true. It is a product of public policy. Back in the 1950s, Dwight D. Eisenhower asked Nelson Rockefeller to chair a commission focused on America’s future, and that commission recommended that many more young Americans attend college. What happened in the aftermath is that our colleges and universities accommodated these students.

All of these students had high school degrees; many were, however, only semi-literate. It is easy to separate the sheep from the goats. In class, I often ask students to read out loud a document, a paragraph from a political tract, a poem, or something or the sort. The literate can do so without difficulty; semi-literate freshmen read out loud less well than my elder daughter did when she was five: they stumble, skip words, and mispronounce other words because they do not comprehend what  is on the page. The latter cannot be expected to read more than forty pages a week. If asked to do so, they will balk. Moreover, they cannot write to save their lives. Correcting their papers for errors in grammar and diction takes real labor and is ordinarily a waste of time – for they generally have no interest in improving and they pay no heed to the comments on their papers.

The word student comes from a Latin word meaning “he who is eager.”  If the “students” discussed in the study Troy cites are eager for anything it is for entertainment and pleasure. The universities accommodate these desires. They do not properly police conduct in the dormitories. In the bathrooms, they sell condoms, instead. They provide luxurious sports facilities and golf courses. They sponsor sports programs that function as entertainment, and they bend all of the rules to accommodate athletes who are not even semi-literate. They provide bogus academic programs, and they reward those within the professoriate who cynically exploit the situation.

It is, moreover, likely to get far, far worse –  for the bean counters are on the march, and they have the backing of many political conservatives. Back in October, The Wall Street Journal published an article entitled Putting a Price on Professors, which reported that the administration at Texas A&M had done a study evaluating  its expenditures by way of a 265-page spreadsheet that “amounted to a profit-and-loss statement for each faculty member, weighing annual salary against students taught, tuition generated, and research grants obtained.” Earlier this month, the editorial page of that newspaper celebrated the fact that Texas A&M was going to use “such metrics of value added as research dollars brought in by a professor and student evaluations of how well a teacher performs in the classroom” to determine the allocation of salaries, and it expressed the hope that “the school’s regents succeed in their efforts to spread pay-for-performance accountability to other public universities.”

On the face of it, this might seem to make sense. Who could object to linking pay and performance? And perhaps with regard to the sciences it really does make sense. In that field, research grants that include stipends for overhead may be an indication of the quality of the work that a particular scientist does (though there is a danger – witness climate science – that these grants are a sign of political correctness on the part of the researcher). There are no such grants – none that provide for overhead at the university – for the fields of philosophy, history, literature, music, and art. In those areas, Texas A&M will depend on two metrics – the number of students taught and student evaluations.

And guess what? At large public universities, large courses are nearly always a sign that the professor is entertaining and the course is a gut, and professors who conduct themselves in this fashion generally receive stellar student evaluations .  I remember a geology course nicknamed Rocks for Jocks, a history course called Moonlight and Magnolias, a psychology course called Nuts and Sluts, and an astronomy course called Astrogut.  Moreover, anyone who assigns more than forty pages a week to freshmen and sophomores and demands that they write anything like twenty pages in a semester will  have fewer students to teach and will be punished in the student evaluations by the semi-literate.

What The Wall Street Journal, the administrators at Texas A&M, and administrators at a great many other academic institutions have forgotten is that the university is not a hotel and those who go there are not consumers. Hotels do not make demands on their guests. They do not grade them.  And they have no interest in their improvement.  It is appropriate that consumers evaluate the products they purchase and the service they receive. Freshmen and sophomores are not very good judges of the instruction they receive, and those in their numbers who are semi-literate (roughly half of the students at Texas A&M, I would guess) are apt to resent those who make demands on them.

What can be done? First, we need to stop pretending that we can educate everyone. A fair number of institutions should shut their doors. Others should become much smaller and more selective. All of them should become more demanding. Grade inflation should be replaced by grade deflation.

What would it take to produce such a result? Hard times would help. An end to federal and state aid to higher education would do no harm. The federal subsidy for student loans could be eliminated. And – here is the kicker – the accrediting agencies could start doing their job.

Think what it would mean if the accreditors paid close attention to the rigor and quality of the general education courses required of students in their freshmen and sophomore years. If they did so, presidents, provosts, deans, and department chairs would find it in their interest to police the teaching of these courses – to make sure that ample reading of a high quality is assigned, that the students are made to do a great deal of writing; and that their examinations and papers are rigorously graded, marked up with an eye to errors in grammar and diction, and returned to the students in a timely fashion. They might even find it in their interest to punish departments for grade inflation by denying them new lines.

So let me sum up. The problem that Troy pointed out is rooted in the fact that the incentive structure at all but the highly selective colleges and universities is badly askew. The fault lies with the administrations at our colleges and universities – but, at a deeper level, it is a product of public policy. Almost everything being done with the purpose of improving things will make them worse. To get things right, we would have to admit what we are loath to admit – that something like half of the students in college do not belong there.

Let me add that the college guide published by what remains of US News & Report does more harm than good. Among other things, it downgrades colleges and universities for a high attrition rate. Back before the Rockefeller Commission Report, a high attrition rate at a public university was a sign that it was doing its job – offering a wide range of students the opportunity to get an education, and busting out freshmen who did not perform.

With Kay Bailey Hutchison retiring in 2012, Texans are faced with the prospect of electing a new senator.  Early polling suggests that Ron Paul could have a shot at joining his son in the Senate:

The top two choices of Texas Republicans to be their Senate nominee next year are David Dewhurst...and Ron Paul. The duo is basically tied with 23% saying Dewhurst would be their top pick as the GOP candidate and 21% picking Paul.

[...]

A much more obscure Tea Party candidate, Debra Medina, got 19% of the vote in the primary for Governor last year even though she was running against two heavyweights in Rick Perry and Kay Bailey Hutchison. If she could get almost 20% against that pair, why couldn't Paul get 30-40% against what's likely to be a much weaker field of candidates? A potential Paul bid is well worth keeping an eye on.

What say the Texans in the room?  Ron Paul for Senate 2012?

Forget health care repeal—the biggest news yesterday came from Hollywood, where director Christopher Nolan announced that Anne Hathaway and Tom Hardy will be in the next Batman movie. I can't be the only Ricochet member who's ridiculously excited about this. I could watch Anne Hathaway read the telephone book. And Hardy was fantastic in last summer's Inception (also directed by Nolan).

What's interesting about Nolan's two Batman movies is that they are both political. Nolan likes exploring "big" questions, and in the case of this franchise he's exploring the relationship of justice, morality, the city, and man. Heady stuff for action films, I know, but somehow it all works.

Batman Begins was about whether a liberal political order that leads to immorality is worth saving. The Dark Knight illustrated that, in order to combat radical evil like the Joker, liberal political orders must sometimes resort to illiberal means. Watch Dark Knight, and you see Batman deploy the same tools George W. Bush deployed to combat terror—extraordinary rendition, enhanced interrogation, and warrantless surveillance. Amazingly for a Hollywood blockbuster, the film defends the limited use of each of these policies.

I can't wait to see what Nolan has in store for the third movie. And I'm also curious to see if the critics catch up to how conservative Nolan's project really is.

General Stanley McChrystal--remember him? He's been off the radar since Rolling Stone published that infamous--and entertaining--profile of him where he said rather unflattering things about the vice president and others. In the maelstrom that ensued, the general was recalled to Washington, where President Obama et al accepted his resignation. Not too long after that, Yale announced that it was bringing McChrystal on to teach a seminar called Leadership. 

But aren't you curious: how has this rugged, no-nonsense general adjusted to the airy world of academia? 

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According to another fascinating--if more tame--profile of him, from the Yale Daily News, McChrystal has adjusted quite well. It turns out that the general makes an excellent professor--but he doesn't want to be called "Professor McChrystal." He insists that his students call him "Stan": 

Though class does not begin until 9:20 each Tuesday morning, the seminar room begins to fill with students at 9. One enters the classroom and plops his backpack in a chair. He gulps down a 5-Hour Energy shot, then tosses the plastic container into the trash can and walks to the back of the room, where he pours himself a cup of coffee.

McChrystal had already arrived for office hours at 8. Today, he sports blue jeans and an orange plaid button-down, with his shirt sleeves rolled above his elbows. His Timberland boots match a lean but brawny physique; one wouldn’t be surprised — based on his appearance — to learn McChrystal was once a part of the military.

His 34-year career, which culminated in his position as top commander of American forces in Afghanistan, ended following a controversial Rolling Stone article first available online in late June.

But he doesn’t look out of place for a teacher, either.

“I was excited to do it, very much so,” McChrystal says of his new job as a professor of this weekly seminar at Yale. “I think I’ve grown a lot and I think I will keep growing.” He is teaching the same course again this semester.

His students aren’t quite sure if they should call him “Professor,” though on the first day of class, McChrystal told them he preferred “Stan.” Many said they are reluctant to do so, and have yet to address him as such in person. Still, students interviewed over halfway through the course said they had grown more comfortable with both each other and their famous professor.

McChrystal said he still wished they would more frequently challenge what he, and his guests, present. Yalies can be too polite, McChrystal says...

“The point of today is to understand trust and relationships, which underpin the difference between success and failure,” McChrystal says as an opening.

He has brought with him guest Sir Graeme Lamb, the former Lieutenant General of the British army who worked with McChrystal’s team in Afghanistan....

Arguably one of McChrystal’s closest friends, Lamb has flown from Europe to be here for these two hours. And McChrystal and his wife would later spend Thanksgiving with Lamb’s family in London.

On the board, Lamb writes the factors he sees as having motivated him throughout his military career: people (he underlines this twice), then purpose, then pay.

And--wait for it--here comes the best part of the article: 

“Although I’m getting paid jack sh-t for this,” [Lamb] remarked jokingly to McChrystal. His friend was prepared with an immediate counter: “You get what you’re worth.”

The article is truly a must-read. Check it out here

Google News suggested this item to me, owing to its observation that I seem to be interested in Turkey: 

Turkey is certainly not a first world country but it has a good public transport system and, while the Turks are fast and passionate drivers, they seldom cause accidents. 

You've got to be kidding me.

For a contrary perspective, here's the US State Department's briefing on driving in Turkey, which I commend as both accurate and written by someone who has a keener instinct for survival:

Pay particular attention to all of the following which are common in Ankara, Istanbul and others parts of the country: 

-- Passing on the right and cutting in front of other vehicles from the right side.

-- Unexpected stops or turns without signaling, for no apparent reason.

-- Stopping in unexpected locations to pick up or let off passengers by cars, buses and trucks, including main highway entrance ramps, intersections, and along major highways.

-- Pedestrians seemingly completely oblivious to oncoming traffic who continue to walk or run in front of vehicles to cross streets and main highways.

-- Trucks parked at night without lights on the highway rather than on the side of the road.

-- Disabled vehicles parked without warning signs.

-- Completely inattentive drivers.

-- Unskilled drivers.

-- Taxis and other vehicles with bad brakes.

-- Unexpected lane changes and stops by taxis, mini-buses (dolmus) and city buses.

-- Tractors, horsecarts and farm vehicles traveling without lights at slow speed on highways.

-- In the countryside, the use of stones rather than warning signs to mark accidents, breakdowns, and road work.

-- During rainstorms, accidents increase dramatically because of oil on the road surface.

-- Road surfaces that are much smoother and provide less traction than normal.

-- Vehicles backing up (in reverse) on exit ramps and on main highways.

-- Animals on highways.

-- In the countryside, watch for herds of sheep, goats and other animals on roads.

-- Drivers that drive in the middle of the road and yield to no one.

-- Drivers that overtake on blind curves.

-- At night, cars without lights or lights missing.

-- Oncoming drivers who play inscrutable light games, flashing and flashing whether you have your "brights" on or not.

-- Tire-shredding potholes.

-- Tailgating drivers.

-- Drivers that attempt to pass while you are passing another vehicle.

-- Unmarked intersections (i.e., no stop signs), primary road has right of way, but proceed with caution.

Key Motoring Terms 

Benzin........................Gas/petrol

Kursunsuz.....................Lead free gas

Mazot/motorin.................Diesel

Tehlikeli Madde...............Dangerous materials (propane, gas, etc.)

Lastikci......................Tire repair

Sanayi bolgesi................Repair shop zone

Otogar........................Bus station

Kar...........................Snow

Buz...........................Ice

Kaza raporu...................Accident Report

Kismet........................Fate

Allah korusun.................May God protect me 

Guess before clicking on the link. No cheating. 

For xxxxxx, the most frightening danger is the social dynamite generated by educated but jobless young men. You see them, singly or in groups, slouching, sullen, on street corners and down the paths of xxxxxxxx. Many have come out of universities that were created more for state prestige than to meet the occupational needs of the society. Their faculties churn out diploma-holders with high expectations and a short-fused sense of entitlement. Once out in the real world, the graduates are greeted by a sluggish economy flattened further by the global economic slowdown. Not even the featherbedded government bureaucracies are hiring.

It’s not hard to picture, say, a 26-year-old law graduate trying to make a life by xxxxxxxx. His education has not delivered. He is depressed and resentful. His ears are open to talk about revenge against the repressive elites, and he is far from alone.

In a world that's already got a lot of problems, we did not need the governor of Alabama to make it quite so easy for headline-writers the globe around to make Americans look nuts, did we? Now I get to explain to Turkish people all day that no, the Christians aren't planning to kill you, no, this isn't the way all Christians think, yes, I know lots of Christians and feel completely safe around them, really, I'm not naive about this, Christians these days tend to be meek as lambs, actually, they're some of the loveliest and most decent people I know, you just have to believe me ... 

And seriously, I'm going to have to explain that. 

I wasn't offended by the governor's remarks. I don't actually want my elected officials to be my brothers and my sisters. I don't want a religious or a faux-kinship relationship with my elected officials at all: I want them to govern effectively in a secular state, where their powers are strictly limited, and otherwise stay off my back. I know Christians well enough, and am sufficiently familiar with Christian theology, to appreciate that the governor meant well and was in fact expressing a generous sentiment. But how naive and obtuse do you have to be not to realize that comments like those will freak a lot of people out, create a serious distraction from governing, and be used as propaganda by people who mean America harm? 

Question for you.

That video is making the rounds among Turks I know on Facebook--it makes them laugh, but in a very uneasy and rueful way. I passed that on to Ricochet member Okan yesterday, saying, "We should translate this, because it really suggests a lot of important things people might miss about Turkey."

He was dubious: He wasn't sure Americans would relate or empathize. And you know, I just don't know, he may be right. So I'll ask: Do you?

I'm not going to give a full translation--basically, this is what you need to know: The slogan on the back of the van, "Ne mutlu Türküm diyene," is seen everywhere in Turkey. Wikipedia's explanation's of its significance is a bit simplistic, but good enough for our purposes: 

Kemalist nationalism is an extension of the Kemalist modernization movement. It was brought against the political domination of sheikhs, tribal leaders and Islamism (Islam as a political system). Initially the declaration of the republic was perceived as "Returning to the days of the first caliphs." However, Kemalist nationalism aimed to shift the political legitimacy from autocracy (Ottoman Dynasty), theocracy (Caliphate) and feudalism (tribal leaders) to the active participation of its citizenry, the Turks. Active participation, or the "will of the people," was established with the republican regime and Turkishness rather than other forms of affiliations that were promoted. The shift in affiliation was symbolized with:

Turkish: Ne Mutlu Türküm Diyene. (English: How happy is he/she who calls himself/herself a Turk)—Mustafa Kemal Atatürk

The term "Ne Mutlu Türküm Diyene" was promoted against the "long live the Sultan," "long live the Sheikh" or "long live the Caliph."

That's the background. There are a lot of other things going on in that video too, though, that are clues to how people experience daily life and state authority in Turkey. I think it's possible to sense quite a bit of what's going on even without understanding what they're saying.

Am I right? Can you relate? Do you empathize? 

If you can't, let me give you one more clue--did seeing that statue of George Washington hidden from view make you feel uneasy? Angry, even? 

A new study featured in the forthcoming book "Academically Adrift: Limited Learning on College Campuses," by sociologists Richard Arum of New York University and Josipa Roksa of the University of Virginia, is getting unfortunately scant coverage in the mainstream media.

college-thumb-200x302-20083

Maybe it’s because it exposes the institutional decline of higher education in America. Maybe it’s because it upends the nostrums about every American’s need for (and right to) a college education. These scandalous findings, however, should be the basis for a wholesale revolution in how we think about higher ed. As CBS News reports:

A study of more than 2,300 undergraduates found 45 percent of students show no significant improvement in the key measures of critical thinking, complex reasoning and writing by the end of their sophomore years.

Not much is asked of students, either. Half did not take a single course requiring 20 pages of writing during their prior semester, and one-third did not take a single course requiring even 40 pages of reading per week.

 

By my lights, two observations jump out in the report. The first is captured in two quick hits in the CBS report:

 -Students who studied alone, read and wrote more, attended more selective schools and majored in traditional arts and sciences majors posted greater learning gains.

-Social engagement generally does not help student performance. Students who spent more time studying with peers showed diminishing growth and students who spent more time in the Greek system had decreased rates of learning, while activities such as working off campus, participating in campus clubs and volunteering did not impact learning.

The second, provocatively enough, doesn’t appear in the CBS report, but made its way into the Business Insider’s description of Arum and Roksa’s work:

Even though students are about 50% less likely to study today than in previous decades, the report found universities are to blame as well; largely because professors spend too much time focused on research and not enough time on the students.

If we want to right the course of the modern university, this seems like two good places to start. First, diminish the social premium of college life. If I were an administrator, I’d start by abolishing the dormitory model of student housing. Dorms have the tendency to inhibit responsible behavior instead of encouraging it and they almost always make life harder for diligent students.

Second, separate the research and teaching components of the professorial life, particularly in the humanities and social studies (I intentionally avoid the designation “social sciences”). In the hard sciences, it may make sense to have a cutting-edge researcher splitting his time between the laboratory and the classroom. But in a discipline like political science, the wonk who has just produced the magnum opus on the correlation between Honduran zinc prices and voter fraud may not have the right skill set to lead a freshman seminar. Obviously, these profs should still be attempting to deepen their knowledge of the field, but too much superfluous academic research gets subsidized by the current system at the expense of people who can actually teach. It’s a sad day when the Teaching Company has become the best value in American higher education.

There's a school of thought among some here at Ricochet (as well as among the US media, who are conspicuous by their lack of interest) that we don't need to be too concerned about the results of the US tribunal investigating the 2005 assassination of Lebanese PM Rafik Hariri. Yes, they'll almost certainly indict members of Hezbollah for carrying out the hit; yes, they might even indict the Ayatollah Khameini, Supreme Leader of Iran, for ordering it, but none of these people is likely to lose sleep over something so piddling as a UN indictment. And if they're not bothered, we don't need to be.

This reading does not take into account the likely results of a civil war in Lebanon. Let's break it down.

Iran is the de facto ruler of South Lebanon via Hezbollah and wants the whole country. Plan A was to set up Hezbollah as Lebanon's tenacious defender against Israel and thereby infiltrate the government (done and done). But Lebanese opinion could swing quickly against Hezbollah if it is revealed that it was that group, with Iran behind it, that blew up a popular prime minister. If there is open defiance of Hezbollah in the streets, civil war could erupt, and Iran would be in the position of having to take Lebanon by force; there would no longer be any pretext that Lebanon swung east of its own accord. A rape of Lebanon is Iran's Plan B -- perhaps not its original intention, but something it is entirely capable of carrying out.

In sum: The UN indictments could lead to civil war, which Iran-backed Hezbollah would almost certainly win. With Lebanon subdued, Ahmadinejad could then step in openly to take up the Muslim cudgels against the American-Israeli axis -- and he'd be doing it from Israel's northern doorstep. Nukes shmukes. Who needs 'em?

I'd say this is a situation worth paying attention to. Is the above forecast theoretical? Sure. But three events took place yesterday that moved the pieces a few steps towards checkmate Lebanon.

  1. Saudi Arabia decided Lebanon is now too hot to handle and withdrew from mediation between Hezbollah and Sa'ad Hariri. (Note that "mediation" means "convincing Sa'ad to do what Hezbollah wants," which is to condemn the UN tribunal, disavow its findings and refuse to countenance the arrest of members of Hezbollah. It's unclear what he would get in return, other than permission to continue breathing.)
  2. Ahmadinejad made a speech in which he ordered the US, Israel, and several European nations to stop their "sedition" in Lebanon or face the consequences. True, he does go in for these "I will cut off your hand" speeches with some regularity, but we might want to pay a little more attention than usual because of...
  3. ...the events on the streets of Beirut yesterday. Black-clad Hezbollah militants, all carrying hand-held radios, spread across Beirut in a "simulated coup" of the capital. (It was simulated because they were not armed.) They appeared at twelve strategic points, including the entries to the city, the port and the airport. Frightened parents pulled their children out of school and the security services closed off access to the Grand Serail, the seat of government in downtown Beirut, upon sighting militants within 400 meters of the building. According to the Jerusalem Post, the two-hour exercise was apparently a demonstration of a Hezbollah first response to a release of the UN findings. 

More on this to come.

Let me be the first to apologize.  As Hedrik Hertzberg has explained in the latest New Yorker, it turns out that conservatives are to blame for the Left’s kneejerk reaction to the Tucson shooting.  “From the outset,” writes Hertzberg, “commentators of all persuasions assumed” that the shooter was motivated by conservative rhetoric.  And that assumption -- wrong though it may have been in the specific case of Tucson -- is the ultimate indictment of the "shocking vituperation and hatred" coming from conservatives; particularly (brace yourself) Sarah Palin.

Of all persuasions?  Help me out, Ricocheterians: can anyone point me to a single conservative commentator who “assumed”  "from the outset" that Loughner was a right-wing lunatic?  But still, it’s perfect isn’t it?  If Hertzberg, Krugman, et al. accuse conservatives of having blood on their hands, then it must be because conservatives are evil.  Makes perfect sense.  Anybody have an alternative theory?     

Well, that didn’t take long.  This just in from the halls of civility:  According to Jonathan Karl, of ABC News, Representative Steve Cohen (D-TN) compared Republicans to Nazis on the floor of the House of Representatives last night.  Of course the speech, appropriately delivered to an empty chamber, hasn’t garnered much in the way of press coverage, the press’ attention being presently diverted to fishing expeditions in Lake Beck, Lake Palin, and Lake Limbaugh. 

Quoth the distinguished gas bag from Tennessee, “The Germans said enough about the Jews and people believed it--believed it and you have the Holocaust.  We heard on this floor, government takeover of health care.  Politifact said the biggest lie of 2010 was a government takeover of health care because there is no government takeover.”   Leave aside for the moment the proposition that a healthcare law whose pages number in the thousands, whose obligations require tens of thousands of new IRS agents to enforce, whose provisions compel the creation of over 150 new government agencies, and whose powers are vested in executive branch agencies is somehow anything other than a government takeover.  Listen to the interview Cohen gave last year in which he compares Tea Party members to the KKK, among others.  What I’m wondering is, what in blue blazes are the people of Cohen’s district thinking? 

Kenneth
Joined
Jul '10

The United States has been the world's primary exponent of free trade for over a century.  For much of that time, free trade served our interests well: as tariffs and other barriers came down, growth in global trade helped to fuel economic expansion and job growth here at home.

But the acceleration of globalization has changed the dynamics of trade.  Our annual trade deficit, adjusted for inflation, has increased from $169.7 billion in 1990 to approximately $630 billion in 2010.  Meanwhile, annual GDP growth is lagging, our manufacturing base has been decimated and incomes are stagnant or falling. 

The ability to sustain a vibrant manufacturing base is dependent upon the availability of capital, access to management and process expertise and cost-efficient labor.  In the past, the United States held a decisive advantage in all but the labor-cost part of that equation.  Now, with the help of our own financial and manufacturing firms, our competitors have erased those advantages.

A key factor in our growing trade disadvantage is that most of our leading manufacturing companies have gone multi-national.  Last year, Caterpillar, long one of America's leading exporters, filled fewer than half of its 15,000 global new jobs here at home.  Now, Caterpillar manufactures much of its equipment in countries like Brazil, India and China.  Much of that is exported to countries around the world.  Though some of Caterpillar's profit does flow back to the United States, much of it is reinvested abroad. 

It is ironic that we currently borrow billions from our trading partners in order to provide a social safety net for precisely those manufacturing workers who are displaced by globalization. 

Perhaps it's time to ask if we might not be better off to derive that money from tariffs on imported products instead of borrowing it from the same countries whose products displaced the workers in the first place.

The classical argument against tariffs is that they will spark a retaliatory trade war.  But since the world's demand for our products and services is already so much lower than our demand for cheap imports, it might be time to re-evaluate our devotion to free trade policies that, unbridled, logically lead to an ever-declining domestic standard of living.

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