Remember Fred Thompson’s candidacy four years ago?  He was the new guy in town who sounded great, even though no one really knew him.  Thompson was supposed to be the perfect spokesman for a conservative base that was left wanting by Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney and John McCain.  The media promised us Thompson would be a game changer who would break Rudy Giuliani’s firm grasp on the nomination.  Thompson was the greatest pre-announcement candidate of the 2008 field.  Unfortunately, his campaign crashed the minute he decided to take it out of the hangar.  Come to think of it, his campaign was replicated on a smaller scale by Jon Huntsman this year.  Huntsman’s actual candidacy hasn’t managed to gain the breathless media coverage and speculation of his slick announcement in front of the Statue of Liberty.  He went from the game changer to the fat kid no one will give the ball to once conservatives found out that Huntsman makes John McCain look like a loyal conservative.

Now let’s look at Governor Rick Perry.  He came into the race late with huge amounts of media coverage.  He appeared to be an articulate spokesman all those dissatisfied conservatives could rally around.  Now, after a disastrous straw poll in Florida and two debates where he has taken a beating for his positions on mandatory HPV vaccines and illegal immigration, it looks as if Perry isn’t the shining conservative on a hill he was supposed to be.  Wait, why do I have a feeling I’ve seen this before?

Based on this past weekend in Florida, Rick Perry is primed to be this year’s Fred Thompson.  Perry has yet to figure out how to address his immigration demons.  First, he tried using Obama’s strategy, calling those unwilling to spend other people’s tax money to give handouts to people who shouldn’t get them “Heartless.”  When that got him booed, he decided to go for the straw men and accuse conservatives of not wanting to educate illegal immigrants.   Unless Perry can think of a better strategy on immigration, he’ll be hard pressed to keep conservative votes.   Furthermore, Perry, much like Thompson, has seen his status as a glowing rhetorician break down.  In addition to the boos Perry managed to draw in his 1960 Richard Nixon-esque performance in the debate, Perry had a weekend of PR disasters in Florida.  There was his meet and greet for undecided straw poll voters where Perry barely made an appearance.  The next day, he treated delegates who were willing to show up for a 9 am breakfast after a night of post-CPAC partying to a poorly delivered speech full of mispronounced words.  Finally, there was his grossly illogical decision to send a surrogate to deliver a flat and monotonous final appeal to the voters before the straw poll.  The straw poll this weekend has shown that Rick Perry is far from a dynamic candidate.  I agree with Governor Perry’s pre-straw poll statement that the Florida straw poll is important.  That said, Perry’s in trouble if after sinking all the resources he did into the straw poll, he can barely beat a candidate who showed up for the debate and left.  If this past weekend is any indication, Rick Perry will be in the same company as our dear friends Fred Thompson and Jon Huntsman.

Comments:


Andrew Johnson
University of Minnesota
Andrew Johnson

In some ways, we all played to role of the damsel in distress with hopes of Perry being our knight in shining armor to come rescue a seemingly unimpressive GOP field. Nevertheless, I've been trying to convince myself if maybe Perry's entry was a blessing in disguise.

GOP voters painted this immaculate picture of Perry as a savior but he still has not lived up to the hype. Some have turned to calling for someone else (i.e. Christie), but it seems like others have used it as a catalyst to reconsider some of the names already in the field.

Jonah Goldberg talked about it a bit on the podcast this week, where he said that this lack of a front-running superstar is forcing people to give other current candidates a second (or third, or fourth) look. And perhaps for the better. By souring on Perry, maybe it's taught us to appreciate what the field was already made up of and make an informed decision from there.

...Or just continue panicking.

Ian Hanchett
Hillsdale College
Ian Hanchett

 I think that's what may happening with Herman Cain.  It seemed as though many conservatives voted for him this weekend because Perry was underwhelming. 

As for Christie, he's a RINO if he comes from any state more conservative than New Jersey.  I think if he runs, he'll burn out faster than Thompson did.

Diane Ellis

As David Frum recently said:

Attention, Chris Christie fans. If you are looking for a Republican nominee who could actually do the job of president, who does not repel independent voters, who can survive a 90-minute debate without saying anything foolish, why the hell not Mitt Romney?

Now excuse me while I go sit in the corner and weep bitterly.


Would you like to comment on this Conversation?

Become a Member for $3.67 a month.

Join the Conversation
Already a member? Sign In
Loading

Start your shopping here!

Help support Ricochet by making your purchases through our Amazon links.

Welcome Visitor!
Join  or  Sign In

Become a Member to enjoy the full benefits of Ricochet:

Ricochet: The Right People, The Right Tone, The Right Place.  Join today!

Already a Member? Sign In