Although at this hour InTrade continues to insist that President Obama is more than twice as likely as Gov. Romney to win tomorrow, I say–and I bring to bear on this pronouncement 30 years of close attention to American politics–nuts.
Not that I’m with Brother Rahe. Much as I’d like to suppose Romney will win in a landslide, I can find no evidence anywhere for a Romney victory of more than two points–and even that would strike me as surprisingly large.
Still. I feel certain Romney will win in Florida and North Carolina, reasonably confident that he’ll win in Virginia and–this one’ll be tight–New Hampshire. That leaves one prize, the great prize, Ohio. In the matter of the Buckeye state I repose my confidence in the analysis of our own Scott Reusser, surely one of the stoutest patriots, and finest prose stylists, that Ohio has ever produced. On our podcast last week, as you may recall, Scott offered a trenchant and memorable prediction. Ohio may not have warmed to Mitt Romney, but, after enduring four years of Barack Obama, voters in the Buckeye state will step into voting booths tomorrow to experience a primal emotion: disgust.
“In the end,” Scott said, “Ohio will vomit Obama out.”
Romney will win–with exactly 270 electoral votes.