Ricochet Poll — October 18

In response to member requests, we’ll leave this one up longer before revealing final results.

<div id=”surveyMonkeyInfo”><div><script src=”https://www.surveymonkey.com/jsEmbed.aspx?sm=j1qLJq8VGmFgpXCuw96G9Q_3d_3d”> </script></div>Create your <a href=”https://www.surveymonkey.com/”>free online surveys</a> with SurveyMonkey, the world’s leading questionnaire tool.</div>

  1. Edward Smith

    I’ll take what I can get.

  2. Mel Foil

    My only worry is that the Democrats will do much better at getting out their voters–all 120% of them.

    temp8.jpg

  3. Last Outpost on the Right

    What is the definition of “substantial”? Electoral? Popular?

  4. Stan Hjerleid

    Starting to see momentum which was missing.  Debates real game changer.  Think Benghazi is mistake O can’t recover from.  Mitt has buried him on economy and jobless crap coming to light. Substantial win for Mitt.

  5. Fred Cole

    Can we add an Unsure option?

  6. J. Martin Hanks

    I said what I would bet on, but I didn’t say how much!

  7. Pat in Obamaland

    I guess I’m in what they call the “Rob Long 9%”.

  8. Salamandyr

    I think Romney is going to take the popular vote by a substantial, but smaller than Obama in 2008 margin, (something like around 52%).  I think his electoral college victory will be much more substantial, breaking 300 EC votes.

  9. Richard Young

    I kind of wish I were a betting man because this site (not Intrade),  if I understand how it works,  takes bets on the election and has Obama favored quite a bit.  

  10. Charles Mark

    As I recall it, Intrade didn’t do too well predicting what nine people would decide on Obamacare. 

  11. The Mugwump

    Susquehanna poll just released data showing Romney up 4 in Pennsylvania!  It’s going to be a tsunami, folks.

  12. ConservativeWanderer
    ~Paules: Susquehanna poll just released data showing Romney up 4 in Pennsylvania!  It’s going to be a tsunami, folks. · 3 minutes ago

    Woohoo!

    Link me ASAP, bro. I wanna blog that one.

  13. dittoheadadt

    Not to go all Paul Rahe on y’all but late last year I called a radio talk show in Boston (Jay Severin, FYI) to tell him, essentially, that whoever the GOP nominee turns out to be will get at least 325 EC votes. I figured, as bad as Obambi was, there was NO one who voted for McCain who’ll vote for Obambi this year but millions who voted for Obambi who won’t vote for him this year. Granted, bad predictions are everywhere, and mine may turn out to be one as well.  But back then common sense told me so, and today it’s looking more and more likely every day.

  14. BrentB67

    Some wishful thinking in this poll.

  15. Jimmy Carter

    On those betting sites, Soros and his minions are manipulating those markets. Don’t let them affect You.

    I believe it was Trace Urdan Who posted or commented ’round Here about that.

  16. T-Fiks

    What confuses me is Intrade.  Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully  click over to the Intrade site–where I’m instantly drenched in cold water.

    This morning O’s winning odds still hovered above 60%.  All those people voting with their own money suggests that  my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.

    Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox?

  17. ConservativeWanderer
    Tim Fikse: What confuses me is Intrade.  Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully  click over to the Intrade site–where I’m instantly drenched in cold water.

    This morning O’s winning odds still hovered above 60%.  All those people voting with their own money suggests that  my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.

    Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox? · 3 minutes ago

    Simple.

    Intrade is a completely self-selected “poll,” therefore it is inherently unreliable, because there is absolutely no attempt to achieve a sample that is representative of the nation as a whole.

    I put Intrade in the same category as fortune cookie fortunes.

Want to comment on stories like these? Become a member today!

You'll have access to:

  • All Ricochet articles, posts and podcasts.
  • The conversation amongst our members.
  • The opportunity share your Ricochet experiences.

Join Today!

Already a Member? Sign In