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Paul Ryan May Soon Enter the Race

Things may be about to change dramatically. This morning, on The Weekly Standard  website, Stephen Hayes reports that Paul Ryan is in the final stages of deciding whether to run for the Republican presidential nomination. I am told by someone very much in the know that this is true.

It is even conceivable that the argument I advanced back at the end of May has had an impact. According to Hayes, another Republican from Wisconsin told him, “With Paul, it’s more about obligation than opportunity. He is determined to have the 2012 election be about the big things. If that means he has to run, he’s open to it.”

This is borne out by an interview Ryan gave on Friday in an appearance on the Charlie Sykes show in Milwaukee. Here is what Ryan initially said:

Look, the way I see 2012 – we owe it to the country to let them choose the path they want our country to take. And I just have yet to see a strong and principled articulation of the kind of limited government, opportunity society path that we would provide as an alternative to the Obama cradle to grave welfare state.

Then Sykes pressed him, starting to ask, “Do you think that it is absolutely essential that there be a Republican candidate who is able to articulate…?” And Ryan cut him off:

I do. Because this is how we get our country back. We do it through a referendum letting the country pick the path not by having a committee of 12 people pick the path or not by having just the inertia of just letting the status quo just stumble through by winning a campaign based on dividing people.

And when Sykes asked him whether he understands why some people think that person should be he, Ryan responded:

Well, I keep hearing that. I’m hoping that people will step up and I’m hoping that somebody – I can help them fashion this. You know my story and you know my answer – and I haven’t changed it. We’ve got a long way to go. There’s 15 months left.

Things may soon get interesting, my friends, very interesting. Just remember. It ain’t over ’til the fat lady sings.

  1. Whiskey Sam

    Professor Rahe, if your piece has any influence in getting Ryan to run, we all owe you a debt of gratitude.

  2. George Savage
    C

    Oh happy day!  I have that Chris Matthews thing going on with my leg right now.

  3. Mel Foil

    I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed?

  4. The New Clear Option

    Run, Ryan, RUN! 

  5. Pseudodionysius

    I’m having kittens!

  6. katievs

    If he’s in, my tentative support for Romney collapses.

    I’m for Ryan with all my heart and mind.  Especially if he picks Rubio for VP.

  7. Paul A. Rahe
    C
    katievs: If he’s in, my tentative support for Romney collapses.

    I’m for Ryan with all my heart and mind.  Especially if he picks Rubio for VP. · Aug 16 at 8:24am

    I am with you on both counts.

  8. David Williamson

    Good news, indeed :-)

    First the Ricochet podcast, then the Ryan/Rubio podcast, then the presidential ticket… we can hope.

  9. katievs
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Wasn’t he referring to a potential Senate run?  

    Hard to imagine anyone thinking he could be more effective as budget chairman than as President.

    I thought his earlier decision not to run had to do with the fact that he is rather young and his children are very young.  If that’s so, then the prospect of Bachmann, Perry or Romney being the nominee might have persuaded him that the country can’t afford for him to wait.

  10. ctruppi

    A Rylan/Rubio ticket would be a dream-come-true.  The Biden/Rubio debate itself would be worth it. 

  11. Whiskey Sam
    katievs

     If that’s so, then the prospect of Bachmann, Perry or Romney being the nominee might have persuaded him that the country can’t afford for him to wait. · Aug 16 at 8:30am

    Looks like we weren’t the only ones less than ecstatic about the current field.  Ryan/Rubio would be electric!

  12. Grendel

    Thoughts flash and swirl through head like lightning-lit rain squalls in gusty Summer storm:

    • Bachmann, Romney, Gingrich, Cain all fold their tents and the Republican ticket of Ryan and Perry starts a 15-month persuade-America campaign.

    • Yawn.
    • Rick Perry isn’t a second-banana type guy, bless his heart.
    • But the Republican primary debates would be boring, with everyone agreeing with Ryan.
    • Like hell they would all agree.
    • Wait.  We’re right-wing crazies.  We believe in the purifying, strengthening power of competition.
    • Won’t it be fun to see the MSM catch Anybody-but-Ryan Fever and start giving Mitt and Newt and even Michele “strange new respect” coverage!
    • Oh but I want to see grown-up Ryan debate the never-matured, never-tested narcissist, BHO.  Talk about OIIOHH! 

    And Prof. Rahe, you can’t hide from us that the real reason you want PR to run is that it is the best way to prove out your diagnosis/prediction that Barack Obama is God’s gift to American conservatism.

  13. WI Con

     Fantastic! I can more than live with Perry as well but I think Paul Ryan can articulate things best without looking like an oppourtunist or a nut.

  14. EJHill

    paulryan2012.org, ryan2012.org and ryan2012.com have all been parked domains. Preventative medicine or advanced planning?

    (Cross-posted in Mollie’s thread)

  15. katievs

    I love the kind of man who puts the good of his wife and children above his own political ambition.  

    Paul Ryan is clearly that kind of man.  

    But it could very well be that he now sees and grants that the situation we are facing is so grave that the future good of his children (and all our children) depends on there being a Republican nominee who can unite the two wings of the base, win over independents, decisively defeat Obama, then lead with courage, conviction and hard-won competence, as we try to beat back the leviathan of out-of-control government.

  16. Brian Watt

    I can’t be bothered with this news at the moment…still trying to see how Ben Bernanke can be tried for treason.

  17. Right Wing
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Etoiledunord, assuming Ryan was being sincere when he said that, he may have recently realized–given the relative failure of the debt ceiling talks–that he overestimated his prospects of remaining effective in Congress.  The Senate won’t cooperate with any budget, and his fellow House members gets sucked into “pledges” like voting against debt ceiling increases and pushing unlikely Balanced Budget Amendments.  If he has changed his tune, I agree with the new thought: he will not make a measurable difference as the U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin’s 1st District.

  18. Paul A. Rahe
    C
    Grendel: Thoughts flash and swirl through head like lightning-lit rain squalls in gusty Summer storm:

    • Bachmann, Romney, Gingrich, Cain all fold their tents and the Republican ticket of Ryan and Perry starts a 15-month persuade-America campaign.

    • Yawn.
    • Rick Perry isn’t a second-banana type guy, bless his heart.
    • But the Republican primary debates would be boring, with everyone agreeing with Ryan.
    • Like hell they would all agree.
    • Wait.  We’re right-wing crazies.  We believe in the purifying, strengthening power of competition.
    • Won’t it be fun to see the MSM catch Anybody-but-Ryan Fever and start giving Mitt and Newt and even Michele “strange new respect” coverage!
    • Oh but I want to see grown-up Ryan debate the never-matured, never-tested narcissist, BHO.  Talk about OIIOHH! 
    And Prof. Rahe, you can’t hide from us that the real reason you want PR to run is that it is the best way to prove out your diagnosis/prediction that Barack Obama is God’s gift to American conservatism. · Aug 16 at 8:40am

    I confess.

  19. katievs
    lindsavid

    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Etoiledunord, assuming Ryan was being sincere when he said that, he may have recently realized–given the relative failure of the debt ceiling talks–that he overestimated his prospects of remaining effective in Congress.  The Senate won’t cooperate with any budget, and his fellow House members gets sucked into “pledges” like voting against debt ceiling increases and pushing unlikely Balanced Budget Amendments.  If he has changed his tune, I agree with the new thought: he will not make a measurable difference as the U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin’s 1st District. · Aug 16 at 8:47am

    Excellent point.

  20. Mel Foil
    katievs

    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Wasn’t he referring to a potential Senate run?  

    Hard to imagine anyone thinking he could be more effective as budget chairman than as President……

    · Aug 16 at 8:30am

    I was thinking, the comment also had to do with time and energy. It takes a lot of both to win the presidency in the first place. When you run for President, the budget is just one of several issues on your plate. You have to study everything and study it hard…energy, defense, trade, health, homeland security, etc. And then you have to travel day and night. Ryan will, by necessity, have to put budget detail work on the back burner. Is this the right time to do that? And maybe more important, will he be able to raise enough money? Can doctors, even great doctors, carrying a big bottle of bitter medicine raise a lot of money? Don’t know.

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