Horserace Blogging

While I am not yet prepared to declare President Obama “toast”–I have seen too many plausible scenarios in which the president ends up winning the electoral college–it is worth noting that not only has Mitt Romney vastly improved his position in the polls, he has also vastly improved his position in voter outreach, voter contact and the ground game/turnout game in general. Four years ago, a significantly superior ground game on the part of Team Obama ensured that the then-senator’s lead in the polls translated into a solid win on Election Day. It is going to be much tougher to replicate the effort against Team Romney, which is in a much better position to compete in getting out the vote.

Of course, it ought to go without saying that the best vehicle for voter turnout is the individual voter. So get to the polls! This is going to be a very close election and your vote can make a difference. Wouldn’t it be a terrible shame if you failed to make that difference by not stating your choice at the ballot box?

  1. Western Chauvinist

    May I add, if you’re in Colorado and haven’t voted yet, whaddaya waiting for?! Early voting started on the 22nd. If you’re in the Springs and need a ride, call Romney headquarters and they’ll put you in touch with a driver. You might even get the Chauvinist chauffeur. 

  2. Mel Foil

    My hope is, that the same people that aren’t interested enough to watch a debate, or read an opinion column–Obama’s traditional base–won’t expend the effort to cast a ballot on November 6th. It’s not as exciting this time. The Anointed One’s halo is not gold anymore. The spray paint has rubbed off.

  3. Concretevol

    Living in a solidly R state I still look forward to pulling the lever on election day.  The last time it counted in any meaningful way was ensuring that Al Gore didnt win his home state.  I do think voter turnout will not be Obama’s friend this time around.

  4. walking

    Leaving now to vote the minority voice in DC.  Voting early, for the first time ever, as the equivalent of an absentee ballot.

  5. Pejman Yousefzadeh
    C

    Someday, DC will see sanity. Someday.

    walking: Leaving now to vote the minority voice in DC.  Voting early, for the first time ever, as the equivalent of an absentee ballot. · 1 hour ago

  6. Shoshanna

    Here in Oregon, where we no longer observe a proper election day and it’s all done by mail up to three weeks in advance, the ballots arrived a week ago and, from the early numbers, it appears there will be a very high turnout. 

    While the national numbers look hopeful for Romney (G-d willing!), I’m becoming increasingly convinced that he’ll have to pull off at least a 7-8 percentage point win in the legitimate vote in order to just squeak past what appears to be shaping up as very determined and well organized Democrat voter fraud for Obama.  

    Since “early and often” is the unofficial voter motto of the left– and all the more so in this election– it’s essential that every potential Romney voter, from the true believer to the recently leaning, get to the polls, cast a ballot by mail, or dispatch a carrier pigeon to the local Department of Elections in order to see that the honest votes are of sufficient number to offset those from Mickey Mouse, Jimmy Hoffa, and hundreds of thousands of others, both fictional and dead. 

    Make your vote count– at least once!

  7. walking

    “Someday, DC will see sanity” Interesting anecdote: I”ve been counting bumper stickers and yard signs in DC and Alexandria, VA. So far the ubiquitous Obama signs and stickers are not so ubiquitous. My count is less than 2 to 1 Obama in the bluest of blue areas.

  8. Shoshanna
    Mel Foil: My hope is, that the same people that aren’t interested enough to watch a debate, or read an opinion column–Obama’s traditional base–won’t expend the effort to cast a ballot on November 6th. It’s not as exciting this time. The Anointed One’s halo is not gold anymore. The spray paint has rubbed off. · 4 hours ago

    It becomes more difficult to convince people you walk on water when it’s clear that you’re in over your head.

  9. James Of England

    Firstly, this improvement in the last two weeks is very good news.

    Secondly; a caution. The GOP operation is still more phone heavy and less ground heavy than the Dem’s. Getting equal voter contacts still means less impact. Still, very good.

    Pejman Yousefzadeh: ….

    Of course, it ought to go without saying that the best vehicle for voter turnout is the individual voter. So get to the polls!…

    Not true! You still have time to contact thousands of voters and make a three figure difference to the result. By voting, you make a one figure difference to the result, and it’s right at the low end of the single digits. I’m not saying not to vote (do!), but if you vote and call, voting will be an objectively trivial portion of your contribution.

  10. James Of England
    Western Chauvinist: May I add, if you’re in Colorado and haven’t voted yet, whaddaya waiting for?! Early voting started on the 22nd. If you’re in the Springs and need a ride, call Romney headquarters and they’ll put you in touch with a driver. You might even get the Chauvinist chauffeur.  · 11 hours ago

    Driving people to the polls? Assuming decent numbers driven, this is also a bigger deal than voting. Thank you! If we win the country by a small margin in Colorado, I shall have to find you at a Ricochet meet-up some day, get a photo taken with you and live to tell my grand-children that if they grow up correctly and take the right decisions, they may, some day, find themselves with a similar opportunity to save America and the world from darkness, and that a suitable subject for prayer would be their instinct and drive to seize that opportunity.

    It’d be a cool thing to have. Even if the election is won elsewhere instead, I hope you have a great time giving life to the Fifteenth, Nineteenth and Twenty-Sixth Amendments. If you win it, though… Wow.

  11. Dave Roy

    I not only cast my vote to get lost in a sea of Washington State blue, but I also convinced my dad in Iowa to vote this year. First time he’s ever voted, and he’s 76.

    And yes, he voted Romney.

  12. Pejman Yousefzadeh
    C

    There really is a first time for everything, isn’t there?

    Dave Roy: I not only cast my vote to get lost in a sea of Washington State blue, but I also convinced my dad in Iowa to vote this year. First time he’s ever voted, and he’s 76.

    And yes, he voted Romney. · 1 hour ago

  13. Dave Roy

    He was always one of those “pox on both their houses, they’re all crooks,etc” people. I convinced him how important this election was.

    And I also got tired of him posting anti-Obama stuff on Facebook and not actually putting his money where his mouth is.

    Pejman Yousefzadeh: There really is a first time for everything, isn’t there?

    Dave Roy: I not only cast my vote to get lost in a sea of Washington State blue, but I also convinced my dad in Iowa to vote this year. First time he’s ever voted, and he’s 76.

    And yes, he voted Romney. · 1 hour ago

    51 minutes ago