Daily Poll Update: Samples for Everyone

Let’s begin with this tidbit from The Transom:

Post/ABC poll is one point Obama lead with a D+4 RV sample. http://vlt.tc/jvt   NBC/WSJ poll is a one point Obama lead with a D+11 LV sample. http://vlt.t…

  1. Illiniguy

    Everyone? Everyone? I don’t see any polls for the People’s Republic of Madiganistan, otherwise known as Illinois. You just don’t love us anymore.

  2. Valiuth

    Gah! Why are we still doing this…? 

    I have a theory about polls. They are useful to only two groups of people.  First, candidates who are running need polling to asses how their message and tactics are working (thus campaigns take numerous internal polls which they do not reveal to the public for the most part).

    The second group of people who need polls are pundits, because pundits are to politics what sports announcers are to sports. The problem is politics isn’t sports. There aren’t any rules and no one knows what the score is until the game is actually over. So what are these poor people to do? They turn to polls which mimic the scores of political contest. 

    For campaigns polls may serve a legitimate purpose, for reporters and pundits polls are just an easy way to fill dead air. The difference is that to the public at large polls are irrelevant. They don’t help us to choose a candidate to support, and they provide no clarity on the issues.

    I mean honestly, what are we getting form these daily poll updates. I think Ricochet is better than this. 

    (Too late, I know….)

  3. Underflow
    Valiuth: Gah! Why are we still doing this…? 

    Because the real polls won’t happen for another day, and we all get to pretend to be pundits here while we wait.

    Also, probably for the same reason I want to know what the spread on the big game is: Not because I think the spread is correct so much as I want confirmation that my growing (hope / dread) has some grounding in fact.

  4. Spin

    Thank you for posting this every day Mollie.  Your hard work is appreciated.

    And Valiuth:  apologize to Mollie for being ungracious.

  5. Tom Lindholtz

    Romney, 341…..or more. 

  6. KingsKnight1

    Everyone is trying to read the tea leaves and it’s just driving me bats. I should know better than to look at them. :(

  7. Butters

    Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October

    GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher. 

  8. ctruppi
    Ningrim: Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October

    GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher.  · 21 minutes ago

    And GOP enthusiasm is much higher.  That’s why the CNN poll with D +11 is so very accurate!!!

  9. Innocent Smith
    Tom Lindholtz: Romney, 341…..or more.  · 1 hour ago

    Tom, I am getting a kick out of this repeating comment of yours.  I sure hope you’re right!

  10. Spin

    So based on that (the same time in 2008 it was a swing of 7 points the other way) Romney should win every state where he has even a 1 point deficit in the polling, don’t you think?

    Ningrim: Rasmussen just released their party affiliation data for October

    GOP at 39.1% has never been higher, the 5.8% lead over Dems has also never been higher.  · 28 minutes ago

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