Beware the Exit Polls

I add this, as a note of caution to Brother Robinson below, from the Daily Caller:

Mark Blumenthal has a very good warning for all of us tonight: Ignore exit polls.

As Blumenthal explains,

“[T]he initial results of the exit poll interviews have had frequent problems with non-response bias, a consistent discrepancy favoring the Democrats that has appeared to some degree in every presidential election since 1988. Usually the bias is small, but in 2004 it was just big enough to convince millions of Americans who saw the leaked results on the Internet that John Kerry would defeat George W. Bush. It didn’t work out that way.”

Exit polls may not be great at head-to-head horse race information, but they still serve an important purpose: Providing us with demographic information.

So, take a deep breath.  We may indeed lose this battle, but if we do, it won’t be until the wee hours.

  1. Peter Robinson
    C

    THANK YOU, Brother Long. O, THANK YOU!

    Pause.

    Cleansing breath.

    I will now resume my regularly scheduled afternoon….

  2. Doc

    We will not lose this battle.  We are going to prevail.  

  3. Frozen Chosen

    I think the media will be very cautious with the exit polls after being burned by them in 2004.

    Then again, this is the “we never acknowledge our mistakes” MSM we are talking about…

  4. Garrett Petersen
    Rob Long: So, take a deep breath.  We may indeed lose this battle, but if we do, it won’t be until the wee hours.

    You mean to say we may lose this skirmish.  The battle never ends.

  5. Peter Robinson
    C
    Garrett Petersen

    Rob Long: So, take a deep breath.  We may indeed lose this battle, but if we do, it won’t be until the wee hours.

    You mean to say we may lose this skirmish.  The battle never ends. · 19 minutes ago

    “The battle never ends.”

    Very, very nicely put, Garrett.  Very nicely put.

  6. Pig Man

    Nope.  It will be over within 2 hours.

  7. Pig Man

    WI just went for O.  Another place Romney wasted his time.   He should have stuck to OH, VA, FL

  8. Pig Man
    Doc: We will not lose this battle.  We are going to prevail.   · 3 hours ago

    Maybe next time.  Not tonight.

  9. Pig Man

    The “Paul Ryan” effect wasn’t.

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