Bio

Tim Groseclose is the Marvin Hoffenberg Professor of American Politics at UCLA. He has joint appointments in the political science and economics departments. He has held previous faculty appointments at Caltech, Stanford University, Ohio State University, Harvard University, and Carnegie Mellon University.

He has recently published a book, Left Turn: How Liberal Media Bias Distorts the American Mind.

He has published more than two dozen scholarly articles, including a number published in the American Economic Review, Quarterly Journal of Economics, American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, and Journal of Politics.

In Left Turn (Chapter 3: “But I’ve Been to Oklahoma”), Groseclose notes the following about his birthplace, upbringing, and political views:

On September 22, 1964, Barry Goldwater made a campaign stop in Tulsa, Oklahoma.  That morning, Tulsa residents awoke to read on the front page of their newspaper: “Tulsa World Endorses Goldwater.”

 I was born on that day in Tulsa.  To this day, I consider Goldwater one of my political heroes.  Four others are Ronald Reagan, Jack Kemp, Bob Dole, and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. 

See www.timgroseclose.com for more about Groseclose.


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Tim Groseclose's Profile

Tim Groseclose
Name:
Tim Groseclose
Institution:
University of California at Los Angeles
Joined:
Aug 9, 2011

Recent Comments

Tim Groseclose
Douglas: "Come check out California" would sound a lot like "North Korea: a great place to visit!" right now, or "Somalia: we have beaches too!". · 51 minutes ago

Brilliant!  I'm laughing my rear end off.  It'd be even funnier if I didn't live in California.

Tim Groseclose

Scott Reusser:

Regardless, Granholm in a burkha would be a ratings winner, at least temporarily. · 19 minutes ago

Hilarious!  I'm dying.

That'd be almost as funny as Jennifer Granholm appearing on the Dating Game in the 1970s: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4FJIP-eZCA

Tim Groseclose

Lots of Ricocheters are predicting that the mainstream media will ignore this.  Normally I'd agree.  But I've got a hunch that this story is different.  It feels like the Marc Rich pardon - that a few honest liberal journalists will think "this smells at least a little like corruption."  I can see a few honest liberals reporting it, and then things snowball.

Maybe I wrong, but this story seems important enough that the mainstream media can't ignore it.  We'll see.

If they do report it, I think Drudge will deserve lots of the credit.  

Tim Groseclose

Tommy De Seno

Tim Groseclose

If you accept Romer's 3% decrease in GDP as absolute and true no matter what the real world conditions and variables are, then yes you'd always be correct.

But you don't accept that, do you?  · 42 minutes ago

Yes, I think the Romer-Romer is approximately true for all real-world conditions that we typically observe.  But that's not my point.  It's simply to illustrate the following:  If tax rates are on the left-side of the Laffer-Curve hump, that does not mean that they have no effect (nor an increasing effect) on production. Tax rates can still have a decreasing effect on production, even when they are on the left-side of the Laffer-Curve hump.

Tim Groseclose
According to the Laffer curve, there is an “optimal tax” where government can collect the most money without decreasing production (and therefore tax revenue).  It’s right there at the top of the graph.

Not true.  Suppose, as Romer and Romer find, GDP decreases 3% for every 1% increase in taxes.  Suppose when the tax rate is 20%, GDP is 100 bil.  Then tax rev. = 20 bil.  Now increase the tax rate to 21%.  Then GDP decreases by 3% to 97 bil.  Revenue = .21 x 97 bil = 20.37 bil.  Note production decreased, yet revenue increased.  Hence, we're not at the top of the graph - yet an increase in taxes still decreases production.

Tim Groseclose
Tom Kirkwold: I will behave!  I have a friend among you and I respect my friend and so I will respect all of you.  I was looking for a place for robust discussion.  I've obviously found the place!  Other parts of my background that might be of interest (or not):  Grew up in Seattle, WA and Hot Springs, AR. 

Tom K.'s my good buddy - we grew up 4 or 5 houses away from each other in Hot Springs.  Let's all treat him with politeness and respect.  One thing I've noticed about Tom:  He's rebellious.  Although he's a Democrat (but a blue-dog one, I believe), I suspect one reason is because he's surrounded by Republicans where he lives.  I bet if he lived in L.A. or on the East Coast he'd be a Republican.   I'm so pleased and honored that he joined us!

Tim Groseclose

Jon Voight.  And he'd be a great choice.  See here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7D2HhFLJHoY

Tim Groseclose

My prayers are with you, Paul.  Good luck!

Tim Groseclose
I remember watching all the NASA footage on t.v. as a child.  Those were great days.  Neil Armstrong appeared to have spent his life as  a quiet, humble man.  RIP.  · 4 minutes ago

How true.  Well put.

Tim Groseclose
ConservativeWanderer: Gee, it's almost like someone else wrote almost the same thing this morning. · 1 hour ago

Oops.  Sorry I missed that.  My apologies.

Tim Groseclose
Ansonia: Really well done. · 2 hours ago

Thanks a bunch!  I can't say enough about how fantastic the Prager U. folks were.  It began with my writing a 1000-word script.  They cut it down to 800.  Dennis Prager himself actually did a lot to make it more concise.  He has an amazing ability to squeeze lots of information into few words.  I can see why his show is so successful.  The production people were extremely professional and detail oriented.  This included Allen Estrin (Dennis's main producer) coaching me on reading my script.  I bet I read it a couple dozen times on camera.  (E.g. "Now say that sentence again, but emphasize this word.")  As I tell friends, "I'm not nearly as articulate as I appear on that video."

Tim Groseclose
Severely Ltd.: This was very well done, thanks Tim. Do you have a favorite source that goes into more detail explaining the Bush tax cuts? · 4 hours ago

Thanks!  Yes, although I'm usually pretty critical of the NY Times, one of its pieces was about the most informative and even-handed of anything I've seen about the Bush tax cuts: http://www.nytimes.com/2001/03/04/us/doing-the-math-on-bush-s-tax-cut.html

Tim Groseclose

drlorentz: I read your paper in theQuarterly Journal of Economics some time back, and I keep the electronic copy handy on my computer. I urge others here to do likewise. It's an impressive bit of work.

Since it was published almost seven years ago, has been there been scholarly response to your work? Have there been any reasonable arguments in rebuttal? And have you refined or extended your methods since? In short, is this an active area of research, or has it been relegated to a dark corner by a similar leftist bias in social science research that Jonathan Haidt describes?

I'm assuming your book is mostly in the nature of a popular exposition of your findings. · 4 hours ago

I'm only aware of one other academic, Brendon Nyhan, who has criticized my and Milyo's paper.  He did it on a blog, not a peer-reviewed journal.  That criticism and the one in the QJPS only apply to our method that used think tank citations as data.  No one has criticized the other two methods, which actually find the media more liberal than the original method found.

Tim Groseclose

drlorentz: I read your paper in theQuarterly Journal of Economics some time back, and I keep the electronic copy handy on my computer. I urge others here to do likewise. It's an impressive bit of work.

Since it was published almost seven years ago, has been there been scholarly response to your work? Have there been any reasonable arguments in rebuttal? And have you refined or extended your methods since? In short, is this an active area of research, or has it been relegated to a dark corner by a similar leftist bias in social science research that Jonathan Haidt describes?

I'm assuming your book is mostly in the nature of a popular exposition of your findings. · 4 hours ago

The Quarterly Journal of Political Science published an article criticizing my and Milyo's original paper.  All that article shows is that if you cherry-pick my and Milyo's data set (e.g. throwing out data from certain years), then you can make the mainstream media appear almost centrist.  I plan to write a response showing how the author was not upfront about the way he cherry-picked the data.

Tim Groseclose

drlorentz: I read your paper in theQuarterly Journal of Economics some time back, and I keep the electronic copy handy on my computer. I urge others here to do likewise. It's an impressive bit of work.

Since it was published almost seven years ago, has been there been scholarly response to your work? Have there been any reasonable arguments in rebuttal? And have you refined or extended your methods since? In short, is this an active area of research, or has it been relegated to a dark corner by a similar leftist bias in social science research that Jonathan Haidt describes?

I'm assuming your book is mostly in the nature of a popular exposition of your findings. · 4 hours ago

Yes, but the book also examines two other methods to examine bias: One uses "loaded political phrases." The other examines how media treated facts about the Bush tax cuts.  Both find the media at least slightly more liberal than the original paper.

The book, unlike the original article, also examines the effect of media bias - and concludes that America would think and vote like Texas if it weren't for media bias.

Tim Groseclose
Crow's Nest: All of us who still eulogize the Scottish Enlightenment deplore the accidental coincidence of this twit's name with that of this Great Man. · 1 hour ago

Amen.  It is an awful coincidence.

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