Bio

Hillsdale College Class of 2014. Double major in Political Economy and Speech. Member of school's national championship Debate team. Member of Pi Kappa Delta Speech and Debate Honorary. I have been volunteering for local, state and national campaigns since I was 8. In 2008, I worked over 100 volunteer hours for various Republican candidates. Before I left for college, I worked over 50 hours for state and local campaigns in Florida including US Senator Marco Rubio and current Attorney General Pam Bondi.

 I also tweet @IanHanchett.


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Ian Hanchett
Name:
Ian Hanchett
Institution:
Hillsdale College
Joined:
Sep 23, 2011

Recent Comments

Ian Hanchett
I don't think the Republic died on tuesday, I think the Republican Party in the tradition of George W. Bush and Mitt Romney died. · 7 hours ago

I'm not saying there shouldn't be any debate. But, that always happens. It won't be brother killing brother, father killing son, party torn asunder like everyone thinks. 

Ian Hanchett

Not to mention the 2006 election where we had the "compassionate conservatism" albatross. 

Keep in mind, the moderates also told us that the GOP could never win in 2010 if it embraced the Tea Party. 

Ian Hanchett

Actually be philosophically different from the other party. 

Or, it's one election, calm down. Obama will barely win the popular vote and couldn't take the House, this wasn't a mandate. The electorate swings between parties all the time. 

Ian Hanchett

Insure this Congress continues to know fear and that in two more years if they do not act as we please, if they cave to some "middle ground" there will be a price in 2014.  · 2 hours ago

Edited 2 hours ago

Exactly. We can't say "Well, the Republican won. See you guys in two years."

Ian Hanchett

Best wishes Dr. Rahe. You'll be in my prayers.

Ian Hanchett
As for allowing a Republican House and Senate to give us gridlock, won’t that be a handy scenario for the Dems to run against in 2016.  Moreover, f we wait for the perfect candidate to materialize, we may wait forever.  Yes, there are a number of very good candidates waiting in the wings, but one never knows what the next 4 years may bring. 

The House can prevent Obama from doing anything too terrible.  As for the blaming Republicans for gridlock, Democrats will blame Republicans for gridlock no matter what happens. 2008 showed us what happens when we strategize based on what we think the Democrats will say about us.

Also, the good candidates waiting in the wings (such as Rubio and Pence) will have their presidential hopes delayed and potentially destroyed by a Romney presidency. 

Ian Hanchett

My problem with Romney on SCOTUS is that I think he is far more likely to appoint a David Souter or John Paul Stevens than a Scalia or Thomas.

Ian Hanchett

Frozen Chosen

 

Are you saying more conservatives voted for Obama in 2008?  Where did that other 22% go?  Are you implying they stayed home because that would be impossible to measure. · Jan 3 at 2:32pm

According to exit polls, 22% of conservatives refused to vote for John McCain. This is a higher percentage than refused to vote for a Republican candidate in a two way race since the '80s.

Ian Hanchett

RE: Frozen Chosen Part 3 of 3:

 “John Mccain - not exactly a conservative's dream - had no problem firing up the base in 2008 when it came to voting.  He received a higher number of conservative votes than any previous GOP candidate so the whole "firing up the base" meme is a real canard.”

McCain only received a higher number because more people voted in 2008 than voted in the previous elections.  Going by percentage McCain only garnered 78% of conservative votes.  By comparison, George W. Bush won 84% of conservatives in 2004 and 81% in 2000.  That means more conservatives voted AGAINST McCain than any previous GOP candidate in a two way race.  The only Republican candidates since the '80s who received a lower percentage of the conservative vote than McCain had third party challengers who ate up conservative votes.

Ian Hanchett

 

Part 2 of 3 of my response to Frozen Chosen:

“Comparing independent vote totals from 2008 to 2010 is truly comparing apples to oranges as the circumstances of those elections were completely different.”

You're right - the circumstances were different.  In 2008, Republicans nominated a moderate and he failed to garner Independent support.  In 2010, with Barack Obama in the White House, the Republicans ran far more conservative candidates and earned more Independent votes.  Look to my example in Florida.  With Barack Obama in the White House and the election boiling down to Obama’s policies vs. the Republican alternative, Independent voters in a crucial swing state overwhelmingly chose a conservative Republican over a moderate Republican.  If all a liberal Republican needed to win Independent support is a liberal president to campaign against, Charlie Crist would be a Senator.

Ian Hanchett

Frozen Chosen -
Anon made excellent points, to which I add the following:

“When polls showed Mccain leading Obama by 12 pts in January 2008 Obama was a candidate and not the president.  Romney's 6% lead over President Obama is much more significant than leading candidate Obama.”

In my post, I also give the example of President Bush losing by 7 points to John Kerry in early 2004. Those early polls were not a good indicator of the final result and there's no reason to believe early polls will bear any resemblance to the final result this time.

Ian Hanchett

Duane Oyen

Ian Hanchett:.............  Unfortunately, counting on the base to hold their nose didn’t work for John Kerry in 2004, it didn’t work for John McCain in 2008.  Can it work for Mitt Romney in 2012?    ·

It actually almost did. 

Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades. Kerry couldn't beat an unpopular incumbent who had the media campaigning against him. Also, relying on the base holding their nose certainly didn't work for John McCain.

Ian Hanchett
Ken Sweeney: Remember when National Review and Rush Limbaugh sang the praises of Mitt Romney during the 2008 primaries in order to stop the aspiring ‘Rino in Chief’ John McCain?  I have two questions—why was Romney so acceptable then, and not now, and 2) who is better in the current field?

To answer your first question, the difference is that Romney isn't the only thing standing between John McCain and the nomination. The conservative support for Romney in 2008 was largely a last ditch effort to prevent McCain from winning once Giuliani, Thompson and Huckabee fell by the wayside.

Ian Hanchett
Richard Young: So many of these posts make zero sense to me.  Romney is the only candidate that polls at or above Obama.  Romney has been the only one to consistently garner significant support among Republicans during the run-up to the primaries.  Romney consistently polls as the most electable by Republicans voters.  Romney is usually the highest or near the top in like-ability and integrity by voters.  And what does this lead the astute observer to conclude: he's unelectable and disliked by voters.  There is a ton of projection going on here. · Jan 2 at 5:16pm

1. The early polls showing Romney leading Obama are meaningless. 

2. Romney has been campaigning for a year and still has failed to earn the support of 75% of his own party. 

3. I never argue that Romney is hopeless.  Rather, I think his electability is not guaranteed and he has serious problems that need to be considered before he's dubbed the electable candidate.

Ian Hanchett
etoiledunord: If Mitt Romney is the nominee, then love for Mitt will have little to do with firing up the Republican base. Obama can fire up the Republican base all by himself. I'm starting to like Romney a lot more, now that's he's the leading Not-Ron-Paul. · Jan 2 at 3:47pm

In 2004, the Democrats thought the same thing about George W. Bush.

Ian Hanchett

 The problem I see with both Gingrich and Romney is that both don't seem to be anti-big government. Romney's "Keep the good and throw out the bad" approach to Obamacare and Gingrich's support of the individual mandate seem to point to a progressive approach that says "I want to be president so I can make big government more efficient." 

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