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Living behind the green curtain.


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True_wesT
Name:
True_wesT
Hometown:
Portland, Oregon
Joined:
Mar 13, 2011

Recent Comments

True_wesT

Thanks, Little My. I'll take it!

True_wesT

I figured Obama would pay a price for not listening to the message that voters were sending him in 2010. Apparently thumbing his nose at Conservatives was a wise strategy.

True_wesT

Romney wins WI, but loses PA and OH. It all seems lost. But then, as the returns start to come in from the West coast, Oregon seems unexpectedly close. The night drags on, and it just gets closer and closer. Then, in win that no one expected, Romney takes Oregon...Romney 273, Obama 265...Hey! It could happen.

True_wesT

Keep walking, Barack. Christopher Moltisanti is in "the hospital" and I told him I'd give you a ride if you wanted to visit.

True_wesT

O = 282R = 256Pessimistic today. As I stated a few days ago, I have good days and bad days. Whether it's Sandy or undecideds coming home to Obama, it sure looks like there's a small, late break to the prez.Late next week, I think the composition of the government will look a lot like it looks right now.Suffice to say, I really hope I'm wrong.

True_wesT

I believe the LV Review Journal endorsed Obama in 2008. Not sure if this endoresrment will help, but it ain't gonna hurt.

True_wesT

The storm is hitting states that are not in play. Am I missing something?

True_wesT

Right you are, Free Radical. But you gotta admit, four more years of Socialism would be most depressing.

True_wesT

One data point that gives me encouragement is the RCP average. In 2004, John Kerry came very close to closing the gap before election day, but was never able to get any closer than -1.5. Romney has been consistently ahead, though by a razor thin margin, since October 9. 

I'm calling my shot. We will look back and realize that voters were looking for any excuse to make a change, and Romney provided that excuse during the first debate. Nothing Obama did after that point could change the tide. In 2004, I think a lot of voters had an emotional connection to Bush after 9/11, and while many were disappointed with him, they could not say that he was not ideologically inconsistent. Put another way, he was exactly the guy he claimed to be from the beginning. Obama, on the other hand, sold voters a false premise. He was not the uniter that he said he was.

The polls in Ohio may very well be accurate, but there are still some late breakers to be had. You don't stay undecided for this long, just to stay with the current choice.

True_wesT

Richard. That crossed my mind. That's why the number of dissents should be high. I agree. I don't want posts killed that challenge our views. But the "My cat is orange, what color is yours?" posts need hot go. That said, I don't necessarily want to leave it up to the editors. We should police our own feed. Perhaps the price of membership is so low that it has created a tragedy of the commons. But I don't what the price so high that it prices out good voices. There ARE guidelines here on what constitutes a good post. They should be followed.

True_wesT

Maybe members should have a "kill switch." If a post gets enough "thumbs down" it just goes away. If you have enough posts killed in a specified period of time, you get whacked. Call it the Soprano Doctrine. Harsh, but effective.

True_wesT

We had a lot of pirates at our Ren fair.

True_wesT

For the most part, yes. People will learn something new about Romney, notably that he isn't the degenerate that the Obama campaign has been describing. People already know Obama. The debates are a mine field for him, and can only hurt.

True_wesT

Darn. iPhone error. It was a decent post, too. I shall leave it to you to figure out what I was going to say.

True_wesT

I guess we'll find out soon enough if Obama's lead is due to an over sampling of Democrats, or (as I wield my handy Occam's brand razor) if he is in fact enjoying an ever widening lead. That said, I find these national polls pointless. Given the margin of error, and given the fact that we don't rely on a national popular vote to elect the president, I'm not sure they tell us anything useful. To state the obvious, the state polls tell the story, and it's not looking pretty right now.

True_wesT

I don't buy the argument that turnout will resemble 2010 more than 2008. Why? Because 2010 is more recent? Turnout was relatively low in 2010. Many of the same people who came out in 2008 will be back in 2012, and they will be back for the same reasons.

I was playing around with an electoral map last night, and was getting mighty depressed. Romney simply cannot win without Ohio. He better get that state figured out, and quick.

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