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You can't take the sky from me. 


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Roberto
Name:
Roberto
Joined:
Mar 8, 2011

Recent Comments

Roberto

Not so much comedy, depressing. How far our leaders have fallen. 

Roberto

"A good Navy is not a provocation to war. It is the surest guaranty of peace."

Honor to all who have served.

Roberto

Eric Hines

Roberto

Inflation alone is more than the Fed can manage with attempts at anything more justifying  all the gold bugs.  

...Also, that while price stability and full employment are mutually conflicting (full employment exposing the system to inflation), full employment is supported by stable inflation.  Thus, employment is a secondary concern (or should be) of the Fed, with results from price stability.  Keynesians want to directly impact employment (vis., with stimulative spending), but that's their error--1) government spending is not stimulative, but recessive; 2) government cannot positively impact employment; 3) the sound economy that flows from stable inflation supports full(er) employment by itself.  Aside from being outright counterproductive, government intervention is useless.

This is impossible to respond to. Some of these points have actual weight.

If you put forward an argument on price stability alone (the obsession with deflation alone is the height of foolishness) or some such then I would have a response but this is simply too broad. 

I am rather pleased  that each of us are on the same page in this fashion,

Aside from being outright counterproductive, government intervention is useless.

Beyond that I can say no more. 

Re: Umbrella

Roberto

Nick Stuart: The older pix are Army. I have kids who are active duty Army and know that using an umbrella is prohibited for male soldiers. Like Foxfier I don't have the time or patience to ferret out the regs.

I'll hypothesize that there is some kind of exception for attending the President (the marines are not, after all, using the umbrella themselves). I also think it highly unlikely that two Marine E3s (Lance Corporal) would simultaneously take it on themselves to pull out umbrellas that they aren't allowed to have and step up very precisely in very good order without some higher-up giving them the order, or having practiced it. · 2 hours ago

Simply because it was ordered or perhaps did not violate particular regs does not make such justified. Obama was not the first but that previous Presidents exercised equal poor judgement in no way justifies this. 

Roberto

Eric Hines:

To circle back, Fed Bank intervention must stay focused on inflation and then employment, and its moves must be limited to tweaks here and there.

To me this is the source of the error. Far too much credence is given to the notion that manipulation of rates will control employment, this is a Keynesian/Monetarist notion poorly justified in actual results. 

Inflation alone is more than the Fed can manage with attempts at anything more justifying  all the gold bugs. 

Edited on May 19, 2013 at 2:38am
Roberto

Eric Hines

No, you do not go far enough.

Well, this is Ricochet; I was trying to be polite.  "Farcical" is an understatement, too....

Eric Hines · 41 minutes ago

There is something to be said for courtesy and the Ricochet CoC.

Roberto

Eric Hines: ...Victoria McGrane and Michael Derby paraphrase the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston as saying that

there is a case that the Fed should be doing even more to boost the economy[,]

i.e., that the Fed should do even more than merely continue its QE program (now on its third, and open-ended, iteration).  That president, Eric Rosengren, said,

…that policy has not been sufficiently accommodative. 

This is the misunderstanding.  It is not the Fed's role to "boost the economy." 

No, you do not go far enough. The notion that the Federal Reserve is "boosting the economy" is farcical nonsense. It is doing absolutely nothing of the sort.

QE and its like are "boosting" the S&P enormously and providing various financial institutions and others with exceptional wealth. Yet this paper wealth has absolutely nothing to do with the economy. It is to the shame of Bernake that his committee continues to push forward such a destructive policy. 

Roberto

Joseph Stanko

Roberto

There is another option and I am coming to believe it will be the more likely one: we could default on our debt. 

People like Mark Steyn make a big deal of our owing so much money to China, implying this gives them power over us.  Perhaps.  But really, if we defaulted on them, wouldn't it be worse for them than for us?  It's not like they can collect on us if we decide not to repay.

If you owe a lot of money to the mafia, you're in a very bad situation.  They'll break your kneecaps.  But if the mafia owes you money, you're still in a bad situation.  You don't demand repayment, instead you wait for the godfather's birthday and go politely beg for your money back. · 1 hour ago

Of this I am not so certain. I am not putting forward the idea of default in advocacy, it is simply my considered opinion as the most likely outcome. There would be consequences to this, many that occur immediately and some that are worse that may or may not be a result. 

Roberto

Frank Soto If you believe there won't be a serious crisis of inflation, you must believe that the fed will raise interest rates enough in response to it to slow its rise.

However our debt makes that impossible.  If rates return to just their historical average, our yearly interest will rise to about 900 Billion.  So the government will have no options. · 13 hours ago

There is another option and I am coming to believe it will be the more likely one: we could default on our debt. To me Argentina seems the model we will likely follow; debt owned to foreign governments will be defaulted on, debt owed to U.S institutions will be restructured and exchange controls will be put in place to prevent capital flight. 

What happened when GM went bankrupt? Senior bondholders were essentially robbed, a judge blessed the robbery and... nothing. No one else cared, the administration got away with it. 

I see our leaders attempting something similar here. Holders of US. Treasuries will subordinated to the degree they can make political trouble. Favored political constituencies will be paid while less influential parties will see their holdings restructured or zeroed out completely. 

Roberto
Leigh: He wasn't really repentant.  That is what is most troubling.  Ongoing, deliberate, deceptive adultery is not a "mistake" as he repeatedly called it, and abandoning your wife to marry your mistress is no way to make it right to your family. · 18 hours ago

Exactly so. Individuals can redeem themselves and be forgiven but Sanford has done nothing to indicate he deserves such forgiveness.

I couldn't be in stronger agreement with you Bereket.

Re: Umbrella

Roberto

Shame on all of them. 

Roberto

Yeah...ok.

Roberto: The continuance of POMO invalidates anything remotely resembling fundamentals. Until the Federal Reserve is forced by the bond market into a different course the S&P is nothing but a casino.  · 2 hours ago

Casino? Does that suggest that you don't need to attend the Fall Rico meet-up in Las Vegas? · 13 minutes ago

Oh, I'm like the bad penny, I always turn up. Just need a few more ricochetii to resent my company. 

Roberto

Depressing on its face. But you didn't ignore it, you didn't just say to yourself, "psh it's not even worth talking to this woman, what's the point?"  You gained little, but its a beginning, that is not worth spitting on. 

Roberto

The pyramid needs no words. 

park-recs-pyramid_1500

and  you watch way too much TV Pseud.

Edited on May 18, 2013 at 4:17am
Roberto

The continuance of POMO invalidates anything remotely resembling fundamentals. Until the Federal Reserve is forced by the bond market into a different course the S&P is nothing but a casino. 

Roberto

Fred Cole

Roberto

The GOP has always had its share of RINOs, half the party isn't always fighting the other half just because everyone loves a good shouting match. Your friend is really just playing word games, we could just as easily say there are many in the GOP who are truly moderate Democrats and the proof is the "common ground" you just listed.

Not common ground.  

Barack Obama implementing specific policies that Republicans have either proposed, enacted or both.  Policies that are given as "evidence" that he's a scary un-American European Kenyan Marxist socialist.

Fine I'll play. 

Yes you are correct. But this is only evidence of how far the political ground has shifted. Truly that the Republicans could put forward so many of these policies that Obama would race to endorse merely indicates the giant leaps they have moved to the Left. Todays Republicans are the Democrats of 30 years ago while todays Democrats are to all intents and purposes communists, such as Obama. 

See? Turn about, the game can be played both ways. 

Edited on May 18, 2013 at 4:03am
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