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Hang On
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Feb 28, 2011

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Hang On

Because our idiot political elites are so mired in austerity -- Republicans wanting to cut the welfare state and Democrats wanting to impoverish the country through regulations -- it will be interesting to see who gets thrown under the bus first: the environmentalists or the welfare state cutters. Energy will be the means of actually being able to afford the welfare state we have gotten so used to and most people do actually want to keep.

As for the Middle East: I never have cared. It is an enormous mistake to become mired in a part of the world that rests on sand.

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Aaron Miller:

I have always been fascinated by empires because almost any modern person of the West takes it for granted that conquest is immoral and yet so much historical "progress" is difficult to imagine without that conquest. We have been civilized by force as well as by choice. · 11 hours ago

What these empires did was facilitate communication and commerce under a common law. What is remembered of them is seen through an overlay of later propaganda -- whether Christian about the Roman Empire or Marxist about the British Empire -- to produce memory and historiography.  The empires lose their edge largely because of their success: they transfer to other peoples knowledge and those people couple that new knowledge with their own to first take down another empire and then supplant it. No one replaced the Roman empire, but the Greeks and the British were replaced with successor empires. I think the idea of the downfall of Rome due to decadence is nothing other than Christian propaganda. Disease wiping out huge portions of your population is not decadence. And the Romans did not have a legacy of innovation to overcome this.

Hang On

Does it matter what critics say about rap? The question is whether there is a sufficient market to keep it going. Evidently there is.

It seems like conservatives would know that.

Hang On

New Orleans is a 3rd world city. If you've spent time in 3rd world cities, you know there are power outages. If there had not been a power outage, it would have been a sign of a conspiracy.

Hang On

I've never worn a watch for more than a day. I hate them. They get in the way. They chafe. So I don't get it.

Hang On

What the author of the Atlantic article is saying is nonsense, both before the advent of ebay and after. The best place to buy 19th century covers has always been at auctions in large lots. It still is. You get the best bang for your buck that way and knowledge very much pays off.  Not all such finds are on ebay but in the dozens of auction houses around the world. My experience on ebay is that individual items often have ridiculously high starting prices and will never sell. There are also an enormous number of forgeries and fakes out there and you better have the knowledge to be able to know what is a forgery (a reprint of a stamp) or a fake (application of a false cancellation to a real stamp). I've seen forged stamps on ebay go for ridiculously high prices so the idea that "the market knows" just is not true. As for "finds", you always have been and still are more likely to find them from dealers who sell in large bulk and do not have the time to break things down. They make their money on volume and not one-at-a-time.

Hang On

"President Obama". But it ain't gonna happen.

Hang On

Fred Cole: I need to jump in here. 

Are you asking the fact that American civilization is so prosperous that what were once uncommon luxuries can be afforded by the common man is a problem? · 2 minutes ago

It isn't only Americans.

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Mollie Hemingway, Ed.: I think about this all the time. We eat, live and travel better than kings. It's awesome. · 58 minutes ago

Matt Ridley described it all very well in The Rational Optimist.  He compared the life of a middle class person to Louis XIV and showed how much better life is for a middle class person today than kings of only a few centuries ago.

Edited on December 31, 2012 at 5:46pm
Hang On
Sandy: We need rising populations because we need families, and we need families because without them it is difficult, if not impossible, to become fully human.  Under the one-child policy, for example,  if he is lucky, for a time a child may have two parents and, if he is very, very lucky, four grandparents, but eventually he will have no blood relatives.  The robots who care for him in illness and old age may be able to feed him and change his linen, but they will not love him. · 4 minutes ago

The person you marry is (hopefully) not a blood relative, so the idea only blood relatives are needed for family isn't true.

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Pseudodionysius

Indaba

RedRules: It will be interesting to see how further modernization shifts human labor. Could we be looking at a future where the retirement-service sector explodes? After all, when there is less need to flip burgers, or track stocks, or dig ditches, or even fight wars, what will people do to make money? Maybe they become care-givers for the young or the old. Could we see a resurgence of the stay-at-home parents? Multiple generations living under the same roof?  · 2 hours ago

Vancouver is a retirement city for the rich, old Chinese. It has pushed out the Canadians born and raised for generations, who paid the taxes and created a safe, welcoming culture.

The rich retirees live in Vancouver while the servers live in dormitory cities linked by train.

The socialist government prevented Canadian businesses from doing mining, forestry and development. Now, decades later, they are letting Chinese companies come in and they pay the taxes. · 1 hour ago

This comment needs to be worked into something for the Main Feed. · 0 minutes ago

That's_why the Japanese are doing it the smart way -- Japanese only -- in the face of an aging society. None_of_this_multicultural_stuff. Take_care_of_your_own.

Hang On

KC Mulville: 

Man needs a job, because he needs to work.

 · 25 minutes ago

Some do. Some don't.

Hang On

The thing Krugman doesn't seem to recognize is that computers at the moment have the mental capacity of cockroaches. That's not going to last for long and it is merely a matter of a few decades before computers have the mental capacity of humans.

I completely agree with the idea that expanding populations are not necessary for economic expansion. The other reason is increased longevity combined with better health. It's going to be a matter of people living for centuries.

When these two trends merge, people who work will be people who want to work. And there will be plenty of people who want to work.

As for the Mark Steyn stuff, it's simply ridiculous. There have been periods when over half the population of Europe were wiped out by combinations of bad harvests, the plague, and war over a period of a few years. Europe survived. There is no such sudden collapse of population or of civilization on the horizon.

Hang On

There are an enormous number of ideas and at its heart are the ideas introduced in The Persuadable Voter, i.e., the voters most easily persuadable are not independents but partisans on the other side who disagree with the party about an issue of importance to them. It's often written especially on this site that those who go back and forth are low-information voters when it's far from the truth. It's a matter of being partisans moving away and tugged back precisely because of issues. Use of the various techniques to identify and persuade are at the heart of a campaign and Obama did that well. There is a second element not identified in the literature you've cited and that is how to dissuade voters who might vote against you from showing up on election day and voting against you. I think Obama also did that effectively with his economic warfare message against Romney.

Experimental_methods_can_be_used_both_to_identify messages and identify target audiences. But what about bias that might be introduced as a result. Alan Gerber is cited as being the author of article on New Haven's turnout but he's had bias problems in the past.

Hang On

There always will be an upper class. There simply has to be. What has changed is there used to be a sense of we're all in this together. We aren't all in this together any more. Gun control is only one issue where there is such a chasm. Immigration is another. Globalization is another.

The other problem is that the political class in the country are simply idiots. A choice of dumb and dumber. Great choices. I agreed with the left when they said Bush was an idiot. The problem was their guys were even bigger idiots. And they don't recognize what an idiot Obama is. (Which says a lot about Mitt Romney in the end.)

Definitely, we are not all in this together any more. And our politicians recognize it and are scrambling to get theirs while they can. Meantime, enjoy the shaft.

Hang On
Dudley: A well placed electro-magnet can work wonders. · 1 minute ago

So how would you isolate it to this one device without screwing up all the other electronics in your car?

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